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Brazilian yield-gap atlas: assessing the potential for sustainable intensification of Brazilian agriculture

Abstract

Global population will peak 9.7 billion by year 2050, representing a 30 percent increase relative to today's population. At the same time, consumption of livestock and dairy products will increase as a result of higher income per capita. Altogether, this will lead to a 50-70% increase in food demand Brazil has a comparative advantage to help meet global food demand due to plentiful land and water resources. However, the rate of increase in average farmer yields has been slow and average yields have remained well below highest yields reported by progressive farmers and those measured in research stations. Likewise, there are increasing concerns about possible conversion of grassland and rainforest to crop production. Hence, it is crucial to determine the degree to which Brazil can increase crop production on existing cropland area through sustainable intensification of cropping systems. It is also essential to determine how much extra grain production will be potentially available for other industries, and, eventually, to be exported. The overall objective of the proposal is to quantify how much extra food Brazil can produce on existing cropland area and identify pathways to realize this potential through sustainable crop intensification. It for major crops for the entire producing area in Brazil; Identify the explanatory causes for yield gaps; Propose interventions for closing the existing yield gaps; Develop a framework for quantifying the potential livestock production in Brazil. (AU)

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Scientific publications (10)
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
RIBAS, GIOVANA GHISLENI; STRECK, NEREU AUGUSTO; ULGUIM, ANDRE DA ROSA; CARLOS, FILIPE SELAU; ALBERTO, CLEBER MAUS; DE SOUZA, PABLO MAZZUCO; BERCELLOS, TUIRA; PUNTEL, SIMONE; ZANON, ALENCAR JUNIOR. Assessing factors related to yield gaps in flooded rice in southern Brazil. AGRONOMY JOURNAL, v. 113, n. 4 JUL 2021. Web of Science Citations: 0.
RIBAS, GIOVANA GHISLENI; JUNIOR ZANON, ALENCAR; STRECK, NEREU AUGUSTO; PILECCO, ISABELA BULEGON; DE SOUZA, PABLO MAZZUCO; HEINEMANN, ALEXANDRE BRYAN; GRASSINI, PATRICIO. Assessing yield and economic impact of introducing soybean to the lowland rice system in southern Brazil. AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS, v. 188, MAR 2021. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GASPAROTTO, LETICIA G.; ROSA, JULIANO M.; MARIN, FABIO R. Interrow spacing and sugarcane yield in a diversity of climates: A major review. AGRONOMY JOURNAL, v. 112, n. 6, p. 4550-4557, NOV-DEC 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
VIANNA, MURILO DOS SANTOS; PINTO NASSIF, DANIEL SILVEIRA; CARVALHO, KASSIO DOS SANTOS; MARIN, FABIO RICARDO. Modelling the trash blanket effect on sugarcane growth and water use. COMPUTERS AND ELECTRONICS IN AGRICULTURE, v. 172, MAY 2020. Web of Science Citations: 4.
ALEXANDRE ORTEGA GONÇALVES; EVANDRO HENRIQUE FIGUEIREDO MOURA DA SILVA; LETÍCIA GONÇALVES GASPAROTTO; JULIANO MANTELATTO ROSA; STEPHANIE DO CARMO; IZAEL MARTINS FATTORI JÚNIOR; FABIO RICARDO MARIN. Improving indirect measurements of the leaf area index using canopy height. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v. 55, p. -, 2020.
CARLOS ANDRE ALVES DE SOUZA; THIERES GEORGE FREIRE DA SILVA; LUCIANA SANDRA BASTOS DE SOUZA; MAGNA SOELMA BESERRA DE MOURA; PAULO PEDRO SILVA; FÁBIO RICARDO MARIN. Straw management effects on sugarcane growth, nutrient cycling and water use in the Brazilian semiarid region. Bragantia, v. 79, n. 4, p. 400-411, Dez. 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GONCALVES, ALEXANDRE ORTEGA; FIGUEIREDO MOURA DA SILVA, EVANDRO HENRIQUE; GASPAROTTO, LETICIA GONCALVES; ROSA, JULIANO MANTELATTO; CARMO, STEPHANIE; FATTORI JUNIOR, IZAEL MARTINS; MARIN, FABIO RICARDO. Improving indirect measurements of the lea area index using canopy height. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v. 55, 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
MARIN, FABIO R.; ANGELOCCI, LUIZ R.; NASSIF, DANIEL S. P.; VIANNA, MURILO S.; PILAU, FELIPE G.; DA SILVA, EVANDRO H. F. M.; SOBENKO, LUIZ R.; GONCALVES, ALEXANDRE O.; PEREIRA, RODOLFO A. A.; CARVALHO, KASSIO S. Revisiting the crop coefficient-reference evapotranspiration procedure for improving irrigation management. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, v. 138, n. 3-4, p. 1785-1793, NOV 2019. Web of Science Citations: 1.
MARIN, FABIO R.; EDREIRA, JUAN IGNACIO RATTALINO; ANDRADE, JOSE; GRASSINI, PATRICIO. On-farm sugarcane yield and yield components as influenced by number of harvests. FIELD CROPS RESEARCH, v. 240, p. 134-142, JUL 1 2019. Web of Science Citations: 1.
TAMIRES TELES DE SOUZA; LUÍS ALBERTO SILVA ANTOLIN; VITOR DE JESUS MARTINS BIANCHINI; RODOLFO ARMANDO DE ALMEIDA PEREIRA; EVANDRO HENRIQUE FIGUEIREDO MOURA SILVA; FÁBIO RICARDO MARIN. Longer crop cycle lengths could offset the negative effects of climate change on Brazilian maize. Bragantia, v. 78, n. 4, p. 622-631, Dez. 2019. Web of Science Citations: 0.

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