Agri-environmental policy and agricultural fires in the Amazon: an economic analysis

• Grant number: 19/05440-5
• Support Opportunities: Regular Research Grants
• Duration: October 01, 2019 - September 30, 2021
• Field of knowledge: Applied Social Sciences - Economics - Agrarian and Natural Resource Economics
• Principal Investigator: Thiago Fonseca Morello Ramalho da Silva
• Grantee: Thiago Fonseca Morello Ramalho da Silva
• Host Institution: Centro de Engenharia, Modelagem e Ciências Sociais Aplicadas (CECS). Universidade Federal do ABC (UFABC). Ministério da Educação (Brasil). Santo André , SP, Brazil
• Associated researchers: Claudia Regina Heck ; Demerval Soares Moreira ; Leonela Guimarães da Silva ; Liana Oighenstein Anderson ; Rubicleis Gomes da Silva ; Sonaira Souza Silva
• Associated scholarship(s): 19/27058-5 - Agri-environmental policy and agricultural fires in the Amazon: an economic analysis, BP.TT

Abstract

Agricultural fires and forest fires are among the main sources of emissions of greenhouse gases and pollutants in the Brazilian Amazon. The agri-environmental policy in vigour has proved limited to contain fires, a gap that tends to be expanded by the current trends of a regional climate more favorable to the spread of fire and the reduction of the public budget for environmental protection. The research aims to contribute to increase the efficiency and equity with which the current policy instruments affect emissions from fires. To this end, multiple potential public policy improvements will be evaluated, first based on a cost-effectiveness analysis, which will combine techniques of (i) inference of individual preferences and (ii) statistical modelling of the health impacts of fires. In addition, a long-term analysis of the social distribution of costs and benefits generated by policy will be conducted, through the computational simulation of governmental and private decisions. This double methodological framework is innovative for integrating non-market valuation, remote sensing and statistical techniques, connecting efficiency and equity, supply and demand for environmental services and short and long term perspectives. Two Amazon states will be studied, Acre and Mato Grosso. (AU)

Scientific publications

(16)

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

LEAL, CECILIA G.; LENNOX, GARETH D.; FERRAZ, SILVIO F. B.; FERREIRA, JOICE; GARDNER, TOBY A.; THOMSON, JAMES R.; BERENGUER, ERIKA; LEES, ALEXANDER C.; HUGHES, ROBERT M.; MAC NALLY, RALPH; et al. Integrated terrestrial-freshwater planning doubles conservation of tropical aquatic species. Science, v. 370, n. 6512, SI, p. 117+, OCT 2 2020. (17/25383-0, 19/05440-5)

SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; PESSOA, ANA C. M.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; ARAGAO, LUIZ E. O. C.. The Brazilian Amazon deforestation rate in 2020 is the greatest of the decade. NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, DEC 2020. (16/02018-2, 19/05440-5)

MORELLO, THIAGO FONSECA. OVID-19 and agricultural fire pollution in the Amazon: Puzzles and solution. World Development, v. 138, FEB 2021. (19/05440-5)

MORELLO, THIAGO; LIMA, ALDO SANTOS; DA SILVA, RUBICLEIS GOMES. Drivers of respiratory health care demand in Acre state, Brazilian Amazon: a cross-sectional study. BMC PUBLIC HEALTH, v. 22, n. 1, p. 16-pg., 2022-09-24. (19/05440-5)

PESSOA, ANA CAROLINA M.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY A.; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; ROSAN, THAIS M.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; PEREIRA, FRANCISCA R. S.; ASSIS, MAURO; JACON, ALINE D.; et al. Intercomparison of Burned Area Products and Its Implication for Carbon Emission Estimations in the Amazon. REMOTE SENSING, v. 12, n. 23, DEC 2020. (19/05440-5, 16/02018-2)

MORELLO, THIAGO. An Agri-environmental Scheme for Reducing Inputs Subjected to Accidental Spillage: An Application to Agricultural Burnings by Smallholders. ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS, v. 84, n. 2, p. 26-pg., 2022-08-18. (19/05440-5)

HEINRICH, VIOLA H. A.; DALAGNOL, RICARDO; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; ROSAN, THAIS M.; DE ALMEIDA, CATHERINE TORRES; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY A.; HOUSE, JOANNA I.; SITCH, STEPHEN; HALES, TRISTRAM C.; et al. Large carbon sink potential of secondary forests in the Brazilian Amazon to mitigate climate change. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, v. 12, n. 1, MAR 19 2021. (19/21662-8, 18/14423-4, 18/15001-6, 16/02018-2, 19/05440-5)

MORELLO, THIAGO; FALCAO, LUCAS. The Fire Management Dilemma in the Brazilian Amazon: Synthesizing Pathways of Causality across Five Case Studies in the State of Para. Human Ecology, v. 48, n. 4, JUL 2020. (19/05440-5)

LIANA ANDERSON; VICTOR MARCHEZINI. Mudanças na exposição da população à fumaça gerada por incêndios florestais na Amazônia: o que dizem os dados sobre desastres e qualidade do ar?. Saúde debate, v. 44, p. 284-302, 2021-07-05. (18/06093-4, 19/05440-5, 16/02018-2)

MORELLO, THIAGO FONSECA. COVID-19 and agricultural fire pollution in the Amazon: Puzzles and solutions. World Development, v. 138, p. 4-pg., 2021-02-01. (19/05440-5)

SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; PESSOA, ANA C. M.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; ARAGAO, LUIZ E. O. C.. The Brazilian Amazon deforestation rate in 2020 is the greatest of the decade. NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, v. 5, n. 2, p. 2-pg., 2020-12-21. (19/05440-5, 16/02018-2)

MORELLO, THIAGO FONSECA. Hospitalization due to fire-induced pollution in the Brazilian Amazon: A causal inference analysis with an assessment of policy trade-offs. World Development, v. 161, p. 14-pg., 2023-01-01. (19/05440-5)

SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; PESSOA, ANA C. M.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; PONTES-LOPES, ALINE; DOBLAS, JUAN; HEINRICH, VIOLA; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY; ALENCAR, ANE; SILVA, CAMILA; et al. Amazonian forest degradation must be incorporated into the COP26 agenda. NATURE GEOSCIENCE, v. 14, n. 9, p. 634-635, SEP 2021. (19/05440-5, 16/21043-8, 16/02018-2, 15/02537-7, 18/14423-4)

SILVEIRA, MARCUS V. F.; PETRI, CAIO A.; BROGGIO, IGOR S.; CHAGAS, GABRIEL O.; MACUL, MATEUS S.; LEITE, CANDIDA C. S. S.; FERRARI, EDSON M. M.; AMIM, CAROLINA G. V.; FREITAS, ANA L. R.; MOTTA, ALLINE Z. V.; et al. Drivers of Fire Anomalies in the Brazilian Amazon: Lessons Learned from the 2019 Fire Crisis. LAND, v. 9, n. 12, DEC 2020. (19/05440-5, 16/02018-2)

MORELLO, THIAGO FONSECA. Subsidization of mechanized tillage as an alternative to fire-based land preparation by smallholders: An economic appraisal of the case of southwestern Brazilian Amazon. LAND USE POLICY, v. 123, p. 15-pg., 2022-12-01. (19/05440-5)

LEAL, CECILIA G.; LENNOX, GARETH D.; FERRAZ, SILVIO F. B.; FERREIRA, JOICE; GARDNER, TOBY A.; THOMSON, JAMES R.; BERENGUER, ERIKA; LEES, ALEXANDER C.; HUGHES, ROBERT M.; MAC NALLY, RALPH; et al. Integrated terrestrial-freshwater planning doubles conservation of tropical aquatic species. Science, v. 370, n. 6512, p. 35-pg., 2020-10-02. (19/05440-5, 17/25383-0)