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Agri-environmental policy and agricultural fires in the Amazon: an economic analysis

Grant number: 19/05440-5
Support Opportunities:Regular Research Grants
Duration: October 01, 2019 - September 30, 2021
Field of knowledge:Applied Social Sciences - Economics - Agrarian and Natural Resource Economics
Principal Investigator:Thiago Fonseca Morello Ramalho da Silva
Grantee:Thiago Fonseca Morello Ramalho da Silva
Host Institution: Centro de Engenharia, Modelagem e Ciências Sociais Aplicadas (CECS). Universidade Federal do ABC (UFABC). Ministério da Educação (Brasil). Santo André , SP, Brazil
Associated researchers: Claudia Regina Heck ; Demerval Soares Moreira ; Leonela Guimarães da Silva ; Liana Oighenstein Anderson ; Rubicleis Gomes da Silva ; Sonaira Souza Silva
Associated scholarship(s):19/27058-5 - Agri-environmental policy and agricultural fires in the Amazon: an economic analysis, BP.TT


Agricultural fires and forest fires are among the main sources of emissions of greenhouse gases and pollutants in the Brazilian Amazon. The agri-environmental policy in vigour has proved limited to contain fires, a gap that tends to be expanded by the current trends of a regional climate more favorable to the spread of fire and the reduction of the public budget for environmental protection. The research aims to contribute to increase the efficiency and equity with which the current policy instruments affect emissions from fires. To this end, multiple potential public policy improvements will be evaluated, first based on a cost-effectiveness analysis, which will combine techniques of (i) inference of individual preferences and (ii) statistical modelling of the health impacts of fires. In addition, a long-term analysis of the social distribution of costs and benefits generated by policy will be conducted, through the computational simulation of governmental and private decisions. This double methodological framework is innovative for integrating non-market valuation, remote sensing and statistical techniques, connecting efficiency and equity, supply and demand for environmental services and short and long term perspectives. Two Amazon states will be studied, Acre and Mato Grosso. (AU)

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Scientific publications (9)
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
HEINRICH, VIOLA H. A.; DALAGNOL, RICARDO; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; ROSAN, THAIS M.; DE ALMEIDA, CATHERINE TORRES; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY A.; HOUSE, JOANNA I.; SITCH, STEPHEN; HALES, TRISTRAM C.; et al. Large carbon sink potential of secondary forests in the Brazilian Amazon to mitigate climate change. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, v. 12, n. 1, . (19/21662-8, 18/14423-4, 18/15001-6, 16/02018-2, 19/05440-5)
SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; PESSOA, ANA C. M.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; ARAGAO, LUIZ E. O. C.. The Brazilian Amazon deforestation rate in 2020 is the greatest of the decade. NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, . (16/02018-2, 19/05440-5)
MORELLO, THIAGO FONSECA. OVID-19 and agricultural fire pollution in the Amazon: Puzzles and solution. World Development, v. 138, . (19/05440-5)
PESSOA, ANA CAROLINA M.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY A.; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; ROSAN, THAIS M.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; PEREIRA, FRANCISCA R. S.; ASSIS, MAURO; JACON, ALINE D.; et al. Intercomparison of Burned Area Products and Its Implication for Carbon Emission Estimations in the Amazon. REMOTE SENSING, v. 12, n. 23, . (19/05440-5, 16/02018-2)
LEAL, CECILIA G.; LENNOX, GARETH D.; FERRAZ, SILVIO F. B.; FERREIRA, JOICE; GARDNER, TOBY A.; THOMSON, JAMES R.; BERENGUER, ERIKA; LEES, ALEXANDER C.; HUGHES, ROBERT M.; MAC NALLY, RALPH; et al. Integrated terrestrial-freshwater planning doubles conservation of tropical aquatic species. Science, v. 370, n. 6512, SI, p. 117+, . (17/25383-0, 19/05440-5)
SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; PESSOA, ANA C. M.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; PONTES-LOPES, ALINE; DOBLAS, JUAN; HEINRICH, VIOLA; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY; ALENCAR, ANE; SILVA, CAMILA; et al. Amazonian forest degradation must be incorporated into the COP26 agenda. NATURE GEOSCIENCE, v. 14, n. 9, p. 634-635, . (19/05440-5, 16/21043-8, 16/02018-2, 15/02537-7, 18/14423-4)
SILVEIRA, MARCUS V. F.; PETRI, CAIO A.; BROGGIO, IGOR S.; CHAGAS, GABRIEL O.; MACUL, MATEUS S.; LEITE, CANDIDA C. S. S.; FERRARI, EDSON M. M.; AMIM, CAROLINA G. V.; FREITAS, ANA L. R.; MOTTA, ALLINE Z. V.; et al. Drivers of Fire Anomalies in the Brazilian Amazon: Lessons Learned from the 2019 Fire Crisis. LAND, v. 9, n. 12, . (19/05440-5, 16/02018-2)

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