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A multi - and interdisciplinary approach to understand spatio-temporal patterns of insect pests and design landscapes for sustainable pest management in tropical agricultural systems

Grant number: 14/16609-7
Support type:Research Projects - Thematic Grants
Duration: April 01, 2015 - June 30, 2019
Field of knowledge:Interdisciplinary Subjects
Principal Investigator:Wesley Augusto Conde Godoy
Grantee:Wesley Augusto Conde Godoy
Home Institution: Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz (ESALQ). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Piracicaba , SP, Brazil
Co-Principal Investigators:Celso Omoto
Assoc. researchers:Carolina Reigada Montoya ; Cláudia Pio Ferreira ; Fernando Luis Cônsoli ; Lourdes Esteva ; Luzia Aparecida Trinca
Associated scholarship(s):18/20435-5 - Modeling with Game Theory of behavioral / adaptive strategies of Spodoptera frugiperda and Helicoverpa armigera in Bt crops with spatio-temporal co-occurrence, BP.PD
18/18095-1 - Spatial distribution of polyphagous insect-pest on perennial crops: statistical modelling applied to determine the factors influencing their spatial-temporal occurrence, BP.PD
17/19984-1 - Mathematical models applied to symbiont-insect-host systems, BP.IC
+ associated scholarships 16/11127-0 - A multi- and interdisciplinary approach to understand spatio-temporal patterns of insect pests and design landscapes for sustainable pest management in tropical agricultural systems, BP.PD
15/26989-4 - Spatial dynamics and landscape structure of Spodoptera frugiperda, BP.PD
15/20380-8 - Ecological modelling of the larval dispersion of Spodoptera frugiperda (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) on Bt cotton: implications for evolution and resistance management, BP.DR
15/10640-2 - A mathematical approach to study the spatio-temporal dynamics of agricultural pests on Bt crops and the establishment of refugee, BP.DR - associated scholarships

Abstract

The spatial distribution effects on pests and natural enemies will be investigated by developing spatially explicit models based on theoretical concepts, laboratory and field experimentation and data obtained from the literature, in order to study how the landscape ecological patterns, including those with Bt crops, influence the spatial distribution and population dynamics of pest insects. The models will define species' habitats within a grid-like arrangement by Cellular Automata and Coupled Map Models. The compiling geographic information system (GIS) will also be used to evaluate the model in real agriculture scenario, represented by the agricultural landscape from the West region of the state of Bahia, and compared with field data collected in this area. The study will be developed by applying mathematical modeling at two levels, individual and population. The models proposed at individual level are discrete dynamics systems, whose behavior is specified in terms of local relation among neighbors, defined upfront, given by a single procedure. The Coupled Map Lattices will be employed to study the problem at population level, with models characterized by a network that is not only dependent on the neighbor cells, but also on the connections of the focus cell with all other patches in the landscape. The theoretical simulations will be used to define strategies to reduce pest population damage on crops and their expansion across agricultural landscapes. (AU)

Articles published in Agência FAPESP about the research grant
Computer models estimate movements of agricultural pests 

Scientific publications (8)
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
GARCIA, ADRIANO G.; FERREIRA, CLAUDIA P.; GODOY, WESLEY A. C.; MEAGHER, ROBERT L. A computational model to predict the population dynamics of Spodoptera frugiperda. JOURNAL OF PEST SCIENCE, v. 92, n. 2, p. 429-441, MAR 2019. Web of Science Citations: 0.
PACHU, JESSICA K. S.; MALAQUIAS, JOSE B.; GODOY, WESLEY A. C.; RAMALHO, FRANCISCO DE S.; ALMEIDA, BRUNA R.; ROSSI, FABRICIO. Models to describe the thermal development rates of Cycloneda sanguinea L. (Coleoptera: Coccinelidae). Journal of Thermal Biology, v. 73, p. 1-7, APR 2018. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GARCIA, A. G.; GODOY, W. A. C.; THOMAS, J. M. G.; NAGOSHI, R. N.; MEAGHER, R. L. Delimiting Strategic Zones for the Development of Fall Armyworm (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) on Corn in the State of Florida. Journal of Economic Entomology, v. 111, n. 1, p. 120-126, FEB 2018. Web of Science Citations: 2.
REIGADA, CAROLINA; MORAL, RAFAEL DE ANDRADE; BORGES DEMETRIO, CLARICE GARCIA; POSTALI PARRA, JOSE ROBERTO. Cross-crop effects on larval growth, survivorship and fecundity of Helicoverpa armigera. JOURNAL OF PEST SCIENCE, v. 91, n. 1, p. 121-131, JAN 2018. Web of Science Citations: 0.
MALAQUIAS, JOSE B.; GODOY, WESLEY A. C.; GARCIA, ADRIANO G.; RAMALHO, FRANCISCO DE S.; OMOTO, CELSO. Larval Dispersal of Spodoptera frugiperda Strains on Bt Cotton: A Model for Understanding Resistance Evolution and Consequences for its Management. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v. 7, NOV 23 2017. Web of Science Citations: 4.
GARCIA, A. G.; GODOY, W. A. C. A Theoretical Approach to Analyze the Parametric Influence on Spatial Patterns of Spodoptera frugiperda (JE Smith) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) Populations. Neotropical Entomology, v. 46, n. 3, p. 283-288, JUN 2017. Web of Science Citations: 2.
GARCIA, ADRIANO G.; FERREIRA, CLAUDIA P.; CONSOLI, FERNANDO L.; GODOY, WESLEY A. C. Predicting evolution of insect resistance to transgenic crops in within-field refuge configurations, based on larval movement. ECOLOGICAL COMPLEXITY, v. 28, p. 94-103, DEC 2016. Web of Science Citations: 9.
REIGADA, C.; GUIMARAES, K. F.; PARRA, J. R. P. Relative Fitness of Helicoverpa armigera (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) on Seven Host Plants: A Perspective for IPM in Brazil. JOURNAL OF INSECT SCIENCE, v. 16, JAN 21 2016. Web of Science Citations: 10.

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