| Grant number: | 15/01389-4 |
| Support Opportunities: | Regular Research Grants |
| Start date: | August 01, 2015 |
| End date: | July 31, 2019 |
| Field of knowledge: | Physical Sciences and Mathematics - Geosciences |
| Agreement: | Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT) |
| Principal Investigator: | Alberto Waingort Setzer |
| Grantee: | Alberto Waingort Setzer |
| Principal researcher abroad: | Carlos do Carmo de Portugal e Castro da Camara |
| Institution abroad: | Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal |
| Host Institution: | Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE). Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação (Brasil). São José dos Campos , SP, Brazil |
| Associated researchers: | Ana Filipa Ferreira Bastos ; Ana Maria Bueno Nunes ; Célia Marina Pedroso Gouveia ; Duarte Pedro Jacome Felix Oom ; Fabiano Morelli ; Flávio Barbosa Justino ; Gabriel Pereira ; Joana Cristina Gouveia Figueiredo Freire ; João Manuel das Neves Silva ; José Miguel Oliveira Cardoso Pereira ; Karla Maria Longo de Freitas ; Leonardo de Faria Peres ; Manuel Lameiras de Figueiredo Campagnolo ; Maria Teresa Jorge Mendes Calado ; Renata Libonati dos Santos ; Ricardo Machado Trigo ; Saulo Ribeiro de Freitas ; Sofia Nunes Lorena Ermida |
| Associated research grant(s): | 15/50454-3 - Collaborative effort for biomass burning science exchange - CEBB, AP.R SPRINT |
Abstract
Vegetation burning and associated emissions of gases and aerosols have substantial ecological, atmospheric and climatic impacts. In Brazil, particularly the Cerrado savanna and the Amazon rainforest are significantly affected by anthropic fires every year, also becoming regionally and globally important sources of pyrogenic emissions. With this proposal we aim to develop improved daily and monthly burned area maps for Brazil, using data from the latest generation of Earth observation satellites, and to combine those maps with other relevant environmental data to estimate aerosol and gas emissions, including an assessment of uncertainty and asensitivity analysis of the estimates. The project will also address the interactions between climatic and ecological drivers of fire activity in the Cerrado and in the rain forest, characterizing the current situation; it will also develop short-term predictive models concerning fire risk dynamics at the regional level. Statistical models will also be developed to understand and forecast future fire regimes under a variety of climate change scenarios available for the region. A fundamental consequence of this project will be the operational implementation of its results in INPE´s existing operational Fire System, improving the overall quality of its products, benefiting the many users, comprising government agencies, research groups, fire managers, NGOs, etc. The three principal institutions submitting the proposal are: INPE/CPTEC and OBT - National Space Research Institute of Brazil / Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies, and Coordination of Earth Observations; IDL/FCUL - Institute Don Luiz /Faculty of Science, University of Lisbon; ISA - Superior Institute of Agronomy at Lisbon. Collaborative institutionsin Brazil are: UFRJ - Federal University of Rio de Janeiro; UFV - Federal University of Viçosa; UFSJ - Federal University of São João del Rei. (AU)
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