Advanced search
Start date
Betweenand

Climate services through knowledge co-production: a Euro-South American initiative for strengthening societal adaptation response to extreme events

Abstract

An inter- and trans-disciplinary framework based on a European-South American research cooperation is proposed to underpin climate services in South America. Climate variability patterns linking the South American Monsoon region, including Amazônia, with southeastern South America, influence climate extremes and impact several societal sectors. More than 200 million people live in the region that is one of the world largest agricultural producing region and where the second world largest hydroelectric power plant is situated. Besides recent progress, further efforts are needed to better understand and predict regional climate variability. Project objectives are: 1) to better understand the combined role of remote and local drivers on South America climate variability from sub-seasonal to decadal timescales, and its impact on the occurrence and intensity of extreme events. Special focus will be placed on an improved understanding of the effects of land use changes from the Amazon to the subtropics and their impact on extreme precipitation events; 2) to assess the predictability levels associated with regional climate pattern from sub-seasonal to decadal time scales; 3) to develop innovative regional prediction tools not only of climate variability but also of climate impact on both agriculture and hydrology in SSA on subseasonal and seasonal time scales; 4) to analyze climate knowledge co-production in order to revise how climate data are used by various stakeholders in their socio-cultural contexts; and 5) to analyze communication conditions of interdisciplinary and trans-disciplinary process of knowledge co-production that determines the usefulness of climate information in the process innovative technologies will be codeveloped to produce products and tools by the project for the SSA-RCC, agriculture and hydropower sectors. The project will be implemented in the context of the Southern South America Regional Climate Centre, and will include actors from the national meteorological services, agriculture and energy stakeholders and organizations. (AU)

Articles published in Agência FAPESP Newsletter about the research grant:
Em São Paulo, Belmont Forum define rumo de pesquisas futuras  
In São Paulo, Belmont Forum defines directions of future research 
En São Paulo, el Belmont Forum define el rumbo de investigaciones futuras 
Articles published in other media outlets (3 total):
Inpe : Modelo global do CPTEC/INPE apresenta desempenho similar ao de centros internacionais na produção de previsões subsazonais (04/Feb/2021)
Grupo Orzil: INPE – potencial para a produção de previsões meteorológicas na escala de semanas (20/Jul/2020)
Inpe : CPTEC/INPE avalia potencial de previsões semanais (19/Jul/2020)

Scientific publications (20)
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
GUIMARAES, BRUNO DOS SANTOS; COELHO, CAIO AUGUSTO DOS SANTOS; WOOLNOUGH, STEVEN JAMES; KUBOTA, PAULO YOSHIO; BASTARZ, CARLOS FREDERICO; FIGUEROA, SILVIO NILO; BONATTI, JOSE PAULO; DE SOUZA, DAYANA CASTILHO. An inter-comparison performance assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction model against four sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Climate Dynamics, v. 56, n. 7-8 JAN 2021. Web of Science Citations: 0.
LUIZ-SILVA, WANDERSON; OSCAR-JUNIOR, ANTONIO CARLOS; CAVALCANTI, IRACEMA FONSECA ALBUQUERQUE; TREISTMAN, FELIPE. An overview of precipitation climatology in Brazil: space-time variability of frequency and intensity associated with atmospheric systems. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, v. 66, n. 2 JAN 2021. Web of Science Citations: 0.
ALVAREZ, M. S.; COELHO, C. A. S.; OSMAN, M.; FIRPO, M. A. F.; VERA, C. S. Assessment of ECMWF Subseasonal Temperature Predictions for an Anomalously Cold Week Followed by an Anomalously Warm Week in Central and Southeastern South America during July 2017. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, v. 35, n. 5, p. 1871-1889, OCT 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
COELHO, CAIO A. S.; DE SOUZA, DAYANA C.; KUBOTA, PAULO Y.; COSTA, SIMONE M. S.; MENEZES, LAYRSON; GUIMARAES, BRUNO S.; FIGUEROA, SILVIO N.; BONATTI, JOSE P.; CAVALCANTI, IRACEMA F. A.; SAMPAIO, GILVAN; KLINGAMAN, NICHOLAS P.; BAKER, JESSICA C. A. Evaluation of climate simulations produced with the Brazilian global atmospheric model version 1.2. Climate Dynamics, v. 56, n. 3-4 OCT 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
FREIRE, JULLIANA L. M.; LONGO, KARLA M.; FREITAS, SAULO R.; COELHO, CAIO A. S.; MOLOD, ANDREA M.; MARSHAK, JELENA; DA SILVA, ARLINDO; RIBEIRO, BRUNO Z. To What Extent Biomass Burning Aerosols Impact South America Seasonal Climate Predictions?. Geophysical Research Letters, v. 47, n. 16 AUG 28 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GUBLER, S.; SEDLMEIER, K.; BHEND, J.; AVALOS, G.; COELHO, C. A. S.; ESCAJADILLO, Y.; JACQUES-COPER, M.; MARTINEZ, R.; SCHWIERZ, C.; DE SKANSI, M.; SPIRIG, CH. Assessment of ECMWF SEAS5 Seasonal Forecast Performance over South America. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, v. 35, n. 2, p. 561-584, APR 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GUIMARAES, BRUNO S.; COELHO, CAIO A. S.; WOOLNOUGH, STEVEN J.; KUBOTA, PAULO Y.; BASTARZ, CARLOS F.; FIGUEROA, SILVIO N.; BONATTI, JOSE P.; DE SOUZA, DAYANA C. Configuration and hindcast quality assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction system. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, v. 146, n. 728, A JAN 2020. Web of Science Citations: 0.
CAVALCANTI, IRACEMA F. A.; SILVEIRA, VIRGINIA P.; FIGUEROA, SILVIO N.; KUBOTA, PAULO Y.; BONATTI, JOSE P.; DE SOUZA, DAYANA C. Climate variability over South America-regional and large scale features simulated by the Brazilian Atmospheric Model (BAM-v0). INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 40, n. 5 DEC 2019. Web of Science Citations: 0.
RODRIGUES, LUIS R. L.; DOBLAS-REYES, FRANCISCO J.; COELHO, CAIO A. S. Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe. Climate Dynamics, v. 53, n. 12, SI, p. 7305-7320, DEC 2019. Web of Science Citations: 3.
BARRETO, NAURINETE J. C.; CAVALCANTI, IRACEMA F. A.; MESQUITA, MICHEL D. S.; PEDRA, GEORGE U. Multivariate intraseasonal rainfall index applied to South America. METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, v. 26, n. 4, p. 521-527, OCT 2019. Web of Science Citations: 0.
SCRICCO, IARA M.; COELHO, CAIO A. S. Summer daily precipitation and wet day climatological features in southeast SAo Paulo, Brazil. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, v. 137, n. 3-4, p. 1997-2010, AUG 2019. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GEIRINHAS, JOAO L.; TRIGO, RICARDO M.; LIBONATI, RENATA; CASTRO, LUCAS C. O.; SOUSA, PEDRO M.; COELHO, CAIO A. S.; PERES, LEONARDO F.; MAGALHAES, MONICA DE AVELAR F. M. Characterizing the atmospheric conditions during the 2010 heatwave in Rio de Janeiro marked by excessive mortality rates. Science of The Total Environment, v. 650, n. 1, p. 796-808, FEB 10 2019. Web of Science Citations: 3.
ANDRADE, KELEN M.; CAVALCANTI, IRACEMA F. A. Atmospheric characteristics that induce extreme precipitation in frontal systems over Southeastern Brazil during summer: Observations and atmospheric model simulation. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 38, n. 14, p. 5368-5385, NOV 30 2018. Web of Science Citations: 1.
DE CASTRO, ALINE ANDERSON; CUARTAS, LUZ ADRIANA; COE, MICHAEL T.; VON RANDOW, CELSO; CASTANHO, ANDREA; OVANDO, ALEX; NOBRE, ANTONIO DONATO; KOUMROUYAN, ADRIANA; SAMPAIO, GILVAN; COSTA, MARCOS HEIL. Coupling the terrestrial hydrology model with biogeochemistry to the integrated LAND surface model: Amazon Basin applications. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, v. 63, n. 13-14, p. 1954-1966, OCT 26 2018. Web of Science Citations: 0.
PATTNAYAK, K. C.; GLOOR, E.; TINDALL, J. C.; BRIENEN, R. J. W.; BARICHIVICH, J.; BAKER, J. C. A.; SPRACKLEN, D. V.; CINTRA, B. B. L.; COELHO, C. A. S. Adding new evidence to the attribution puzzle of the recent water shortage over Sao Paulo (Brazil). TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, v. 70, JUN 25 2018. Web of Science Citations: 0.
GEIRINHAS, JOAO L.; TRIGO, RICARDO M.; LIBONATI, RENATA; COELHO, CAIO A. S.; PALMEIRA, ANA CRISTINA. Climatic and synoptic characterization of heat waves in Brazil. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 38, n. 4, p. 1760-1776, MAR 30 2018. Web of Science Citations: 6.
PAES DOS SANTOS, ANA PAULA; COELHO, CAIO A. S.; PINTO JUNIOR, OSMAR; QUADROS DOS SANTOS, SERGIO RODRIGO; LOPES DE LIMA, FRANCISCO JOSE; DE SOUZA, EVERALDO BARREIROS. Climatic diagnostics associated with anomalous lightning incidence during the summer 2012/2013 in Southeast Brazil. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 38, n. 2, p. 996-1009, FEB 2018. Web of Science Citations: 4.
MARTINS, EDUARDO S. P. R.; COELHO, CAIO A. S.; HAARSMA, REIN; OTTO, FRIEDERIKE E. L.; KING, ANDREW D.; VAN OLDENBORGH, GEERT JAN; KEW, SARAH; PHILIP, SJOUKJE; VASCONCELOS JUNIOR, FRANCISCO C.; CULLEN, HEIDI. A MULTIMETHOD ATTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF THE PROLONGED NORTHEAST BRAZIL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT (2012-16). BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, v. 99, n. 1, S, p. S65-S69, JAN 2018. Web of Science Citations: 3.
COELHO, CAIO A. S.; FIRPO, MARI A. F.; DE ANDRADE, FELIPE M. A verification framework for South American sub-seasonal precipitation predictions. METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT, v. 27, n. 6, p. 503-520, 2018. Web of Science Citations: 2.
COELHO, CAIO A. S.; FIRPO, MARI A. F.; MAIA, ALINE H. N.; MACLACHLAN, CRAIG. Exploring the feasibility of empirical, dynamical and combined probabilistic rainy season onset forecasts for Sao Paulo, Brazil. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 37, n. 1, p. 398-411, AUG 2017. Web of Science Citations: 1.

Please report errors in scientific publications list by writing to: cdi@fapesp.br.