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(Reference retrieved automatically from Web of Science through information on FAPESP grant and its corresponding number as mentioned in the publication by the authors.)

A snapshot of a pandemic The interplay between social isolation and COVID-19 dynamics in Brazil

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Author(s):
Ferreira, Cleudia P. [1] ; Marcondes, Diego [2] ; Melo, Mariana P. [3] ; Oliva, Sergio M. [2] ; Peixoto, Cleudia M. [2] ; Peixoto, Pedro S. [2]
Total Authors: 6
Affiliation:
[1] Sao Paulo State Univ, Inst Biosci, UNESP, BR-18618689 Botucatu, SP - Brazil
[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Appl Math, Inst Math & Stat, BR-05508090 Sao Paulo - Brazil
[3] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Basic & Environm Sci, Engn Sch Lorena, BR-12602810 Lorena - Brazil
Total Affiliations: 3
Document type: Journal article
Source: PATTERNS; v. 2, n. 10 OCT 8 2021.
Web of Science Citations: 0
Abstract

In response to the coronavirus pandemic, governments implemented social distancing, attempting to block the virus spread within territories. While it is well accepted that social isolation plays a role in epidemic control, the precise connections between mobility data indicators and epidemic dynamics are still a challenge. In this work, we investigate the dependency between a social isolation index and epidemiological metrics for several Brazilian cities. Classic statistical methods are employed to support the findings. As a first, initially surprising, result, we illustrate how there seems to be no apparent functional relationship between social isolation data and later effects on disease incidence. However, further investigations identified two regimes of successful employment of social isolation: as a preventive measure or as a remedy, albeit remedy measures require greater social isolation and bring higher burden to health systems. Additionally, we exhibit cases of successful strategies involving lockdowns and an indicator-based mobility restriction plan. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 19/22157-5 - Modelling and biological control of vector-borne diseases: the case of Malaria and Dengue
Grantee:Cláudia Pio Ferreira
Support Opportunities: Regular Research Grants
FAPESP's process: 16/18445-7 - Numerical methods for the next generation weather and climate models
Grantee:Pedro da Silva Peixoto
Support Opportunities: Research Grants - Young Investigators Grants