Busca avançada
Ano de início
Entree

Modelo brasileiro do sistema climático global

Resumo

The understanding of the interactions between the different components of the Earth system, such as ocean, atmosphere, cryosphere, biosphere and the capability to simulate them using numerical models is a fundamental piece in the study of projections of impacts of the increase in greenhouse gases, aerosols in the atmosphere, and changes in the land used patterns in the earth's climate. This project aims at the development of the Brazilian Model of the Global Climate System (BMGCS), a coupled ocean-atmosphere-cryosphere-biosphere-chemistry model that allows the study and simulation of global climate variability and change, incorporating expert knowledge about tropical rainforest dynamics and its interactions with the atmosphere. The project will develop an integrated land surface module with the ability to simulate land surface processes, physiology, phenology and vegetation dynamics. The model will contemplate the complete terrestrial carbon cycle, the probability of occurrence of fire disturbances, agricultural crops dynamics, flooded areas, terrestrial snow and ice dynamics. The model shall contribute with substantial improvements of the representation of biosphere-atmosphere interactions over South American biomes. The BMGCS will incorporate the expert knowledge of chemistry and aerosols from forest burning on climate. Coupled to a high resolution ocean model with biogeochemical and sea ice will allow the Brazilian community to develop centennial to millennia integration of the model for global climate research. This project will also allow fort the aggregation of the specific competencies of participating research groups and expert local knowledge, e.g., the effects of the Amazon forest and hydrology on climate. (AU)

Matéria(s) publicada(s) na Revista Pesquisa FAPESP sobre o auxílio::
El Inpe bajo presión 
Inpe sob pressão 
Modelo criado aqui ajudará a interpretar mudanças climáticas 
Clima, versão 2.0 
El clima en versión 2.0 
Matéria(s) publicada(s) na Agência FAPESP sobre o auxílio:
Matéria(s) publicada(s) em Outras Mídias (0 total):
Mais itensMenos itens
VEICULO: TITULO (DATA)
VEICULO: TITULO (DATA)

Publicações científicas (6)
(Referências obtidas automaticamente do Web of Science e do SciELO, por meio da informação sobre o financiamento pela FAPESP e o número do processo correspondente, incluída na publicação pelos autores)
GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; VEIGA, SANDRO F.; NOBRE, PAULO; SILVA, JR., MANOEL B.; CAPISTRANO, VINICIUS B.; CALLEGARE, ANDYARA O. Sea surface height trends in the southern hemisphere oceans simulated by the Brazilian Earth System Model under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE, v. 70, n. 1 OCT 2020. Citações Web of Science: 0.
CAPISTRANO, VINICIUS BUSCIOLI; NOBRE, PAULO; VEIGA, SANDRO F.; TEDESCHI, RENATA; SILVA, JOSIANE; BOTTINO, MARCUS; DA SILVA JR, MANOEL BAPTISTA; MENEZES NETO, OTACILIO LEANDRO; FIGUEROA, SILVIO NILO; BONATTI, JOSE PAULO; KUBOTA, PAULO YOSHIO; REYES FERNANDEZ, JULIO PABLO; GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; VIAL, JESSICA; NOBRE, CARLOS A. Assessing the performance of climate change simulation results from BESM-OA2.5 compared with a CMIP5 model ensemble. Geoscientific Model Development, v. 13, n. 5, p. 2277-2296, MAY 14 2020. Citações Web of Science: 0.
VEIGA, SANDRO F.; NOBRE, PAULO; GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; CAPISTRANO, VINICIUS; BAPTISTA, JR., MANOEL; MARQUEZ, ANDRE L.; FIGUEROA, SILVIO NILO; BONATTI, JOSE PAULO; KUBOTA, PAULO; NOBRE, CARLOS A. The Brazilian Earth System Model ocean-atmosphere (BESM-OA) version 2.5: evaluation of its CMIP5 historical simulation. Geoscientific Model Development, v. 12, n. 4, p. 1613-1642, APR 24 2019. Citações Web of Science: 2.
NOBRE, PAULO; PEREIRA, ENIO BUENO; LACERDA, FRANCINETE FRANCIS; BURSZTYN, MARCEL; HADDAD, EDUARDO AMARAL; LEY, DEBORA. Solar smart grid as a path to economic inclusion and adaptation to climate change in the Brazilian Semiarid Northeast. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT, v. 11, n. 4, p. 499-517, 2019. Citações Web of Science: 0.
NOBRE, CARLOS A.; SAMPAIO, GILVAN; BORMA, LAURA S.; CASTILLA-RUBIO, JUAN CARLOS; SILVA, JOSE S.; CARDOSO, MANOEL. Land-use and climate change risks in the Amazon and the need of a novel sustainable development paradigm. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, v. 113, n. 39, p. 10759-10768, SEP 27 2016. Citações Web of Science: 75.
NOBRE, PAULO; SIQUEIRA, LEO S. P.; DE ALMEIDA, ROBERTO A. F.; MALAGUTTI, MARTA; GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; CASTELAO, GUILHERME P.; BOTTINO, MARCUS J.; KUBOTA, PAULO; FIGUEROA, SILVIO N.; COSTA, MABEL C.; BAPTISTA, JR., MANOEL; IRBER, JR., LUIZ; MARCONDES, GABRIEL G. Climate Simulation and Change in the Brazilian Climate Model. Journal of Climate, v. 26, n. 17, p. 6716-6732, SEP 2013. Citações Web of Science: 8.

Por favor, reporte erros na lista de publicações científicas escrevendo para: cdi@fapesp.br.