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Heavy rains and hydrogeological disasters on February 18th-19th, 2023, in the city of São Sebastião, São Paulo, Brazil: from meteorological causes to early warnings

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Autor(es):
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Marengo, Jose A. ; Cunha, Ana P. ; Seluchi, Marcelo E. ; Camarinha, Pedro I. ; Dolif, Giovanni ; Sperling, Vinicius B. ; Alcantara, Enner H. ; Ramos, Andrea M. ; Andrade, Marcio M. ; Stabile, Rodrigo A. ; Mantovani, Jose ; Park, Edward ; Alvala, Regina C. ; Moraes, Osvaldo L. ; Nobre, Carlos A. ; Goncalves, Demerval
Número total de Autores: 16
Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
Fonte: NATURAL HAZARDS; v. 120, n. 8, p. 28-pg., 2024-03-28.
Resumo

This study provides a thorough analysis of the landslides that occurred in the city of Sao Sebastiao, on the northern coast of Sao Paulo state, Brazil, in February 18th-19th, 2023. The meteorological condition during this event was characterized by a cold front crossing over a warmer-than-normal subtropical South Atlantic, off the coast of Sao Paulo. Combined with the orographic effect of the Serra do Mar Mountain, the front remained stationary over the northern coastal areas of the state of Sao Paulo, causing an extreme and historic heavy precipitation event. An unprecedented volume of rain, amounting to 683 mm in less than 15 h, triggered landslides that generated 65 casualties and damages. Although alerts were clearly issued in advance, response among the communities was minimal, indicating the ineffectiveness of current early warning system in place. This calls for improved public policies, communication and the possible adoption of multi-hazard early warning systems to reduce risk in vulnerable areas. (AU)

Processo FAPESP: 14/50848-9 - INCT 2014: INCT para Mudanças Climáticas (INCT-MC)
Beneficiário:Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini
Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Programa de Pesquisa sobre Mudanças Climáticas Globais - Temático