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Accuracy of discrete- and continuous-time mean-field theories for epidemic processes on complex networks

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Autor(es):
Silva, Diogo H. ; Rodrigues, Francisco A. ; Ferreira, Silvio C.
Número total de Autores: 3
Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
Fonte: PHYSICAL REVIEW E; v. 110, n. 1, p. 9-pg., 2024-07-17.
Resumo

Discrete- and continuous-time approaches are frequently used to model the role of heterogeneity on dynamical interacting agents on the top of complex networks. While, on the one hand, one does not expect drastic differences between these approaches, and the choice is usually based on one's expertise or methodological convenience, on the other hand, a detailed analysis of the differences is necessary to guide the proper choice of one or another approach. We tackle this problem by investigating both discrete- and continuous-time mean-field theories for the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on random networks with power-law degree distributions. We compare the discrete epidemic link equations (ELE) and continuous pair quenched mean-field (PQMF) theories with the corresponding stochastic simulations, both theories that reckon pairwise interactions explicitly. We show that ELE converges to the PQMF theory when the time step goes to zero. We performed an epidemic localization analysis considering the inverse participation ratio (IPR). Both theories present the same localization dependence on network degree exponent gamma : for gamma < 5/2 the epidemics are localized on the maximum k-core of networks with a vanishing IPR in the infinite-size limit while, for gamma > 5/2, the localization happens on hubs that do not form a densely connected set and leads to a finite value of the IPR. However, the IPR and epidemic threshold of ELE depend on the time-step discretization such that a larger time step leads to more localized epidemics. A remarkable difference between discrete- and continuous-time approaches is revealed in the epidemic prevalence near the epidemic threshold, in which the discrete-time stochastic simulations indicate a mean-field critical exponent theta = 1 instead of the value theta = 1/(3 - gamma ) obtained rigorously and verified numerically for the continuous-time SIS on the same networks. (AU)

Processo FAPESP: 21/00369-0 - Localização em processos de espalhamento em redes complexas
Beneficiário:Diogo Henrique da Silva
Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Brasil - Pós-Doutorado
Processo FAPESP: 19/23293-0 - Predição e inferência em sistemas complexos
Beneficiário:Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues
Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Regular
Processo FAPESP: 13/07375-0 - CeMEAI - Centro de Ciências Matemáticas Aplicadas à Indústria
Beneficiário:Francisco Louzada Neto
Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Centros de Pesquisa, Inovação e Difusão - CEPIDs