Sources of the Incumbency (Dis)Advantage

Autor(es)

George Avelino Filho ^[1] ; Ciro Biderman ^[2] ; Scott Desposato ^[3]

Afiliação do(s) autor(es)

^[1] Fundação Getúlio Vargas. Escola de Administração de Empresas de São Paulo - Brasil

^[2] Fundação Getúlio Vargas. Escola de Administração de Empresas de São Paulo - Brasil

^[3] University of California San Diego - Estados Unidos

• Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
• Fonte: Brazilian Political Science Review; v. 16, n. 1 2021-12-15.

Resumo

An emerging literature finds that legislators frequently suffer a negative incumbency advantage in developing countries but disagrees as to the sources of this anti-incumbent bias. We contribute to this literature by examining the case of Brazil, where the extant literature predicts a large incumbency disadvantage. Building a new methodology for OLPR which leverages both inter- and intraparty thresholds, we find, contrary to expectations, a large ‘positive’ incumbency advantage. We further exploit within-country variation and show that this advantage appears to be largest in the least developed areas. Our results suggest that previous work may be confounding country-specific factors with development levels. (AU)

• Processo FAPESP: 13/15658-1 - As instituições políticas subnacionais: um estudo comparativo dos estados brasileiros
• Beneficiário: George Avelino Filho
• Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Temático