Sources of the Incumbency (Dis)Advantage

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Author(s):	George Avelino Filho ^[1] ; Ciro Biderman ^[2] ; Scott Desposato ^[3] Total Authors: 3
Affiliation:	^[1] Fundação Getúlio Vargas. Escola de Administração de Empresas de São Paulo - Brasil ^[2] Fundação Getúlio Vargas. Escola de Administração de Empresas de São Paulo - Brasil ^[3] University of California San Diego - Estados Unidos Total Affiliations: 3
Document type:	Journal article
Source:	Brazilian Political Science Review; v. 16, n. 1 2021-12-15.
Abstract
An emerging literature finds that legislators frequently suffer a negative incumbency advantage in developing countries but disagrees as to the sources of this anti-incumbent bias. We contribute to this literature by examining the case of Brazil, where the extant literature predicts a large incumbency disadvantage. Building a new methodology for OLPR which leverages both inter- and intraparty thresholds, we find, contrary to expectations, a large ‘positive’ incumbency advantage. We further exploit within-country variation and show that this advantage appears to be largest in the least developed areas. Our results suggest that previous work may be confounding country-specific factors with development levels. (AU)

FAPESP's process:	13/15658-1 - Subnational political institutions: a comparative study of Brazilian States
Grantee:	George Avelino Filho
Support Opportunities:	Research Projects - Thematic Grants