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Measuring inflation persistence under time-varying inflation target and stochastic volatility with jumps

Autor(es):
Alves, Cassio R. A. ; Laurini, Marcio P.
Número total de Autores: 2
Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
Fonte: ECONOMICS BULLETIN; v. 42, n. 2, p. 9-pg., 2022-01-01.
Resumo

We analyze whether the presence of a time-varying inflation target and stochastic volatility affect inflation persistence. We estimated different autoregressive specifications for inflation with and without time-varying parameters. The results show that the inflation persistence diminishes when we consider time-varying inflation target and stochastic volatility with jumps. We conclude that neglecting the time variation in inflation target and inflation volatility results in an upward biased estimation of persistence. (AU)

Processo FAPESP: 18/04654-9 - Séries temporais, ondaletas e dados de alta dimensão
Beneficiário:Pedro Alberto Morettin
Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Temático