Climate Simulation and Change in the Brazilian Climate Model

Autor(es):Mostrar menos -

Nobre, Paulo ^{[1, 2]} ; Siqueira, Leo S. P. ^[1] ; de Almeida, Roberto A. F. ^[1] ; Malagutti, Marta ^[2] ; Giarolla, Emanuel ^[2] ; Castelao, Guilherme P. ^[1] ; Bottino, Marcus J. ^[3] ; Kubota, Paulo ^[2] ; Figueroa, Silvio N. ^[2] ; Costa, Mabel C. ^[1] ; Baptista, Jr., Manoel ^[1] ; Irber, Jr., Luiz ^[2] ; Marcondes, Gabriel G. ^[1]

Afiliação do(s) autor(es)

^[1] Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Earth Syst Sci Ctr CCST, Sao Paulo - Brazil

^[2] Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Ctr Weather Forecasting & Climate Studies CPTEC, Sao Paulo - Brazil

^[3] Ctr Monitoring & Early Warnings Nat Disasters CEM, Sao Paulo - Brazil

• Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
• Fonte: Journal of Climate; v. 26, n. 17, p. 6716-6732, SEP 2013.
• Citações Web of Science: 8

Resumo

The response of the global climate system to atmospheric CO2 concentration increase in time is scrutinized employing the Brazilian Earth System Model Ocean-Atmosphere version 2.3 (BESM-OA2.3). Through the achievement of over 2000 yr of coupled model integrations in ensemble mode, it is shown that the model simulates the signal of recent changes of global climate trends, depicting a steady atmospheric and oceanic temperature increase and corresponding marine ice retreat. The model simulations encompass the time period from 1960 to 2105, following the phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) protocol. Notwithstanding the accurate reproduction of large-scale ocean-atmosphere coupled phenomena, like the ENSO phenomena over the equatorial Pacific and the interhemispheric gradient mode over the tropical Atlantic, the BESM-OA2.3 coupled model shows systematic errors on sea surface temperature and precipitation that resemble those of other global coupled climate models. Yet, the simulations demonstrate the model's potential to contribute to the international efforts on global climate change research, sparking interest in global climate change research within the Brazilian climate modeling community, constituting a building block of the Brazilian Framework for Global Climate Change Research. (AU)

• Processo FAPESP: 09/50528-6 - Modelo brasileiro do sistema climático global
• Beneficiário: Carlos Afonso Nobre
• Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Programa de Pesquisa sobre Mudanças Climáticas Globais - Temático