Recency predicts bursts in the evolution of author citations

Autor(es)

Silva, Filipi Nascimento ^[1] ; Tandon, Aditya ^[2] ; Amancio, Diego Raphael ^[3] ; Flammini, Alessandro ^{[1, 2]} ; Menczer, Filippo ^{[1, 2]} ; Milojevic, Stasa ^[2] ; Fortunato, Santo ^{[1, 2]}

Afiliação do(s) autor(es)

^[1] Indiana Univ, Network Sci Inst, Bloomington, IN 47405 - USA

^[2] Indiana Univ, Ctr Complex Networks & Syst Res, Luddy Sch Informat Comp & Engn, Bloomington, IN 47405 - USA

^[3] Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Math & Comp Sci, Sao Carlos - Brazil

• Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
• Fonte: QUANTITATIVE SCIENCE STUDIES; v. 1, n. 3, p. 1298-1308, SUM 2020.
• Citações Web of Science: 1

Resumo

The citations process for scientific papers has been studied extensively. But while the citations accrued by authors are the sum of the citations of their papers, translating the dynamics of citation accumulation from the paper to the author level is not trivial. Here we conduct a systematic study of the evolution of author citations, and in particular their bursty dynamics. We find empirical evidence of a correlation between the number of citations most recently accrued by an author and the number of citations they receive in the future. Using a simple model where the probability for an author to receive new citations depends only on the number of citations collected in the previous 12-24 months, we are able to reproduce both the citation and burst size distributions of authors across multiple decades. (AU)

• Processo FAPESP: 17/13464-6 - Modelando grafos de citação e informação: uma abordagem baseada em redes complexas
• Beneficiário: Diego Raphael Amancio
• Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Exterior - Pesquisa
• Processo FAPESP: 15/08003-4 - Abordagem de redes complexas em e-Science e dados dinâmicos
• Beneficiário: Filipi Nascimento Silva
• Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Brasil - Pós-Doutorado
• Processo FAPESP: 17/09280-7 - Investigando a estrutura e dinâmica de redes de informação
• Beneficiário: Filipi Nascimento Silva
• Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Exterior - Estágio de Pesquisa - Pós-Doutorado