The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast

Autor(es)

Sanches, Fabio H. C. ; Martins, Fernando R. ; Conti, William R. P. ; Christofoletti, Ronaldo A.

• Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
• Fonte: SCIENTIFIC REPORTS; v. 13, n. 1, p. 12-pg., 2023-04-25.

Resumo

The climate is changing. At this stage, it is important to specify an 'extreme' climate and identify patterns that indicate its potential harm worldwide, including the coastal zones. Herein, we considered extremes based on the "Peaks Over Threshold" method from the "Extreme Value Theory". We looked after geographical patterns of surface air temperature (SAT) extremes (e.g., T-max, T-min, daily temperature range (DTR), and inter-daily temperature range) over the last 40 years throughout the Brazilian coast. Overall, we found a trend increase in intensity and frequency, but the duration was barely affected. The latitudinal pattern of extremes and the temperatures considered extremes followed the settled perception that areas in higher latitudes will be more affected by the extent of warming. Additionally, the seasonal pattern of DTR demonstrated to be a good approach to make inferences about air mass changes, but joint analyses on extremes with other atmospheric variables are desirable. Given the potential effects of extreme climates on society and natural systems over the world, our study highlights the urge for action to mitigate the effects of the increase in SAT in coastal zones. (AU)

• Processo FAPESP: 17/17337-9 - Eventos climáticos extremos e seus efeitos nos aspectos fisiológicos e ecológicos de organismos bentônicos de costões rochosos
• Beneficiário: Fabio Henrique Carretero Sanches
• Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Brasil - Pós-Doutorado
• Processo FAPESP: 16/24551-4 - Força de interações ecológicas e a mediação ambiental em sistemas costeiros
• Beneficiário: Ronaldo Adriano Christofoletti
• Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Regular