The drivers of energy-related CO2 emissions in Brazil: a regional application of the STIRPAT model

Autor(es)

Polloni-Silva, Eduardo ^[1] ; Silveira, Naijela ^[1] ; Ferraz, Diogo ^{[2, 3, 4]} ; de Mello, Diego Scarpa ^[1] ; Moralles, Herick Fernando ^[1]

Afiliação do(s) autor(es)

^[1] Fed Univ Sao Carlos UFSCar, Prod Engn Dept, Rod Washington Luis Km 235, BR-13565905 Sao Carlos, SP - Brazil

^[2] Fed Univ Ouro Preto UFOP, Dept Econ, BR-35420000 Mariana - Brazil

^[3] Sao Paulo State Univ UNESP, Dept Prod Engn, Bauru, SP - Brazil

^[4] Univ Hohenheim, Stuttgart - Germany

• Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
• Fonte: Environmental Science and Pollution Research; v. 28, n. 37, p. 51745-51762, OCT 2021.
• Citações Web of Science: 1

Resumo

Since energy is one of the basic inputs for development, emerging economies should make an effort to investigate the environmental impacts of their fast economic growth. However, large emerging economies present significant regional heterogeneity that is usually uncounted for. This study uses the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) model and regional data on the 27 Brazilian states to investigate the growth-CO2 nexus under distinct development stages. To perform this analysis, we divided the states into three groups according to their average annual GDP (i.e., richer, intermediate, and poorer regions). The results suggest that richer and poorer regions, particularly, present economic and demographic developments that are environmentally costly. Also, population and per capita GDP have the largest influences on CO2 emissions. The roles of the industrial sector and the ascending service sector are also subject to criticism. Moreover, Brazil arguably suffers from technological stagnation as its energy intensity is growing and boosting CO2 emissions. We discuss the policy implications of these findings and suggest a future research agenda. (AU)

• Processo FAPESP: 19/19905-0 - Impactos ambientais e direcionadores do investimento direto estrangeiro: evidência do estado de São Paulo, Brasil
• Beneficiário: Herick Fernando Moralles
• Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Regular