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Reaction trend system with GARCH quantiles as action points

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Autor(es):
Fiorucci, Jose Augusto ; Silva, Geraldo Nunes ; Barboza, Flavio
Número total de Autores: 3
Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
Fonte: EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS; v. 198, p. 8-pg., 2022-07-15.
Resumo

Most trading systems developed from technical indicators are designed to operate in either trending or non-trending markets but they are rarely useful for both markets. A reaction trend system allows operations inboth markets. In this study, we improve the calculus of four action points using a statistical volatility modeland then replace the action points with those derived from GARCH quantiles. Although the proposed systemis more advanced, it maintains the same operational logic as the method proposed by Wilder. Empirical testson various assets suggest that the novel method performs better. Finally, we compare the performance of ourproposed system with previous studies that analysed assets in different markets and regions. Our system hasbeen proven consistently competitive in all situations. (AU)

Processo FAPESP: 16/10431-7 - Otimização e ferramentas estatísticas para negociação automática no mercado de bolsas e moedas
Beneficiário:José Augusto Fiorucci
Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Brasil - Pós-Doutorado
Processo FAPESP: 13/07375-0 - CeMEAI - Centro de Ciências Matemáticas Aplicadas à Indústria
Beneficiário:Francisco Louzada Neto
Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Centros de Pesquisa, Inovação e Difusão - CEPIDs