Structural propagation of pandemic shocks: an input-output analysis of the economic costs of COVID-19

Autor(es)

Haddad, Eduardo A. ^[1] ; Perobelli, Fernando S. ^[2] ; Araujo, Inacio F. ^[1] ; Bugarin, Karina S. S. ^[3]

Afiliação do(s) autor(es)

^[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Econ, Sao Paulo - Brazil

^[2] Univ Fed Juiz de Fora, Dept Econ, Juiz De Fora - Brazil

^[3] Econ & Polit Res Grp, Brasilia, DF - Brazil

• Tipo de documento: Artigo Científico
• Fonte: SPATIAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; v. 16, n. 3, p. 252-270, JUL 3 2021.
• Citações Web of Science: 4

Resumo

This paper explores the use of simulations in policy decision-making in the Brazilian State of Sao Paulo in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. We propose a methodology for assessing the daily economic costs of control strategies for mitigating the effects of coronavirus. The method is based on the partial hypothetical extraction approach to input-output systems. Simulated daily scenarios based on different levels of compliance to the control measures are used to help guide the design of sectoral and territorial-based policies to ease lockdown against the coronavirus outbreak, taking into account the economic and sanitary trade-offs. We present examples of simulations that can substantiate top-level decision-making. (AU)

• Processo FAPESP: 19/00057-9 - Sustentabilidade agrícola e agroindustrial no Chile: modelando os impactos de mudanças climáticas e de desastres naturais em um sistema integrado
• Beneficiário: Inácio Fernandes de Araújo Junior
• Modalidade de apoio: Bolsas no Brasil - Programa Capacitação - Treinamento Técnico
• Processo FAPESP: 14/50848-9 - INCT 2014: INCT para Mudanças Climáticas (INCT-MC)
• Beneficiário: Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini
• Modalidade de apoio: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Programa de Pesquisa sobre Mudanças Climáticas Globais - Temático