| Texto completo | |
| Autor(es): |
Sarmento Buarque, Ana Carolina
[1]
;
Souza, Christopher Freire
[2]
;
Arguello Souza, Felipe Augusto
[1]
;
Mendiondo, Eduardo Mario
[1]
Número total de Autores: 4
|
| Afiliação do(s) autor(es): | [1] Univ Sao Paulo, Sao Carlos Sch Engn, Sao Carlos - Brazil
[2] Univ Fed Alagoas, Technol Ctr, Maceio, Alagoas - Brazil
Número total de Afiliações: 2
|
| Tipo de documento: | Artigo Científico |
| Fonte: | HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES; v. 66, n. 14 OCT 2021. |
| Citações Web of Science: | 0 |
| Resumo | |
Society is facing increasingly rapid and frequent changes, which are transforming the decision making paradigm from a static, value-based perspective to a dynamic, scenario-based perspective. Flood risk assessment (FRA) is moving towards an approach that encompasses social, climatic, and environmental changes. Advances in climate and hydraulic modelling allow the development of long-term scenarios with greater reliability. However, the coupling of human behaviour in the process of flood risk assessment is still in an embryonic phase. Here we attempt to fill this gap by (1) coupling a socio-hydrological model with an urban flood model using a cellular automata approach, and (2) using climate change projections to estimate flood risk in the coming decades. We illustrate our analytical framework with an application in a Brazilian catchment, showing its potential in developing long-term scenarios that can ultimately improve the process of flood risk assessment. (AU) | |
| Processo FAPESP: | 14/50848-9 - INCT 2014: INCT para Mudanças Climáticas (INCT-MC) |
| Beneficiário: | Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini |
| Modalidade de apoio: | Auxílio à Pesquisa - Programa de Pesquisa sobre Mudanças Climáticas Globais - Temático |
| Processo FAPESP: | 18/03473-0 - Compreendendo a percepção de risco e o enigma da memória das pessoas através da social-hydrology |
| Beneficiário: | Eduardo Mario Mendiondo |
| Modalidade de apoio: | Auxílio à Pesquisa - Pesquisador Visitante - Internacional |