Climate changes, agricultural production and economic growth in Brazil

• Grant number: 13/06669-0
• Support Opportunities: Research Grants - Visiting Researcher Grant - International
• Start date: June 28, 2013
• End date: August 06, 2013
• Field of knowledge: Applied Social Sciences - Economics - Agrarian and Natural Resource Economics
• Principal Investigator: Humberto Francisco Silva Spolador
• Grantee: Humberto Francisco Silva Spolador
• Visiting researcher: Rodney B. William Smith
• Visiting researcher institution: University of Minnesota (U of M), United States
• Host Institution: Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz (ESALQ). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Piracicaba , SP, Brazil

Abstract

This visit aims develop and implement in Brazil a relatively new research methodology for studying some of the fundamental economic forces influencing the growth of Brazilian agriculture, and the sector linkages with the rest of the Brazilian economy. Using a dynamic growth model, we will compare per capita GDP series under a no global warming model (the base) with the per capital GDP series under several global warming scenarios, calculate the discounted present value of the difference in per capital GDP under the base model and the global warming models, and examine the potential impact of global warming on agricultural growth in Brazil. (AU)