Conditional Cash Transfers and Unequal Impacts on Formal Male and Female Employment: An Analysis of Brazilian Municipalities

• Grant number: 23/07653-1
• Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Scientific Initiation
• Start date: August 01, 2023
• End date: June 30, 2024
• Field of knowledge: Applied Social Sciences - Economics - Quantitative Methods Applied to Economics
• Principal Investigator: Alexandre Gori Maia
• Grantee: Júlia Manini Martins Bonilha
• Host Institution: Instituto de Economia (IE). Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP). Campinas , SP, Brazil
• Associated scholarship(s): 23/12617-4 - Conditional cash transfer and unequal impacts in the male and female formal labor market: an analysis of Brazilian municipalities, BE.EP.IC

Abstract

This study examines the effects of the Bolsa Família Program (BFP) on formal employment for both men and women. The hypothesis to be tested is whether the BFP generates differentiated impacts between males and females, contributing to increased gender inequality in formal labour market participation. The analysis is based on panel data models using municipal-level information from 2014 to 2020, allowing for the evaluation of aggregate impacts of the BFP (rather than individual impacts) during a period of low dynamism and economic shock caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. The study also aims to identify heterogeneous effects over time and among groups of municipalities, enabling an assessment of whether the BFP contributes to increasing territorial inequalities in the distribution of formal employment. In addition to investigating the mechanisms through which the BFP may differentially affect formal employment for men and women, this project will provide relevant empirical contributions, allowing the researcher to develop and enhance knowledge in panel data models.