Carbon tracker and water availability controls of land use and climate changes

• Processo: 08/58120-3
• Linha de fomento: Auxílio à Pesquisa - Programa de Pesquisa sobre Mudanças Climáticas Globais - Temático
• Vigência: 01 de outubro de 2009 - 31 de março de 2014
• Área do conhecimento: Ciências Exatas e da Terra - Geociências - Meteorologia
• Convênio/Acordo: CNPq - Pronex
• Pesquisador responsável: Humberto Ribeiro da Rocha
• Beneficiário: Humberto Ribeiro da Rocha
• Instituição-sede: Instituto de Astronomia, Geofísica e Ciências Atmosféricas (IAG). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). São Paulo , SP, Brasil
• Pesquisadores principais: Luciana Vanni Gatti
• Bolsa(s) vinculada(s): 12/08369-0 - Serviços ambientais hidrológicos: quantificação dos efeitos da funcionalidade das APPs em bacias de várias escalas, BP.PD; 11/04051-3 - Determinação das concentrações de entrada dos gases de efeito estufa na Bacia Amazônica, BP.MS; 10/17045-9 - Dendrometric dynamic in a Cerrado denso strictu senso of Glebe Pé-de-gigante, Parque Estadual de Vassununga, Santa Rita do Passa Quatro, SP, BP.TT; + mais bolsas vinculadas 10/15952-9 - Produção de serapilheira no Cerrado Pé-de-gigante e Mata Atlântica, BP.TT; 10/03674-4 - Transportes e balanço de carbono na Amazônia, BP.PD; 10/07405-8 - Trocas gasosas em uma Floresta Ombrófila Densa Atlântica, BP.TT; 10/02251-2 - Implementação, manutenção operacional e desenvolvimentos do sistema CarbonTracker no âmbito do centro de previsão de tempo e estudos climáticos, BP.TT; 10/01585-4 - Desenvolvimento de um conjunto de dados de superfície para modelagem do sistema terrestre, BP.TT; 10/00269-1 - Monitoramento dendrométrico em um Cerrado stricto sensu na gleba Pé-de-gigante, BP.TT; 09/15632-7 - Produção de serapilheira no Cerrado Pé-de-Gigante e Mata Atlântica, BP.TT - menos bolsas vinculadas
• Assunto(s): Biosfera Ecossistemas Cerrado Carbono Ecossistema amazônico Mudança climática
• Publicação FAPESP: https://www.fapesp.br/pfpmcg/pfpmcg_rocha.pdf

Resumo

This proposal concerns the Consequences of global climate change in the functioning of ecosystems, with emphasis on the water and carbon cycles, especially the sectors of water resources and agriculture, and the balance of radiation in the atmosphere, aerosols, trace gases and changes in land use. The proposal seeks to estimate and interpret greenhouse gases (GHG) and surface hydrological exchanges at large- and regional scale in Brazil, both due to climate variation and land use changes (LUC), using consistent field measurements and modeling of the land-atmosphere system. We aim to answer: if the Amazon basin operates as a sink or source of GHG, which intrinsically adds much uncertainty in the assessment of long term predictions of regional climate; on what extension the LUC reduces the water availability, and how it might combine future global climate changes; where and how the medium term policies of adaptation to climate change could be tackled in critical areas. By means of a consortium of Brazillian instituions (USP, Embrapa, IPEN, DAEE, IBt) , UK (Univ of Leeds) and american (NOAA), we plan to developing spatio-temporal distributions of carbon fluxes, estimating mean net carbon flux for Amazon basin (sink or source), using a computational & field data assimilation system -- the carbon tracker, that includes LUC and the aerosol effects: emphasizing the strong link between GHG with the hydrological cycle, and calculating changes in water status and ecosystem productivity in the Amazon basin, for a range of climate scenarios: estimating surface water and carbon fluxes across several ecosystems in Amazonia, Cerrado and Atlantic Forest, using observation in flux tower sites; assessing the hydrological effects of land use changes, for a range of climate change scenarios, in meso-scale watersheds in the biomes of Cerrado and Atlantic Forest. (AU)

Publicações científicas

(13)

(Referências obtidas automaticamente do Web of Science e do SciELO, por meio da informação sobre o financiamento pela FAPESP e o número do processo correspondente, incluída na publicação pelos autores)

ARAGAO, LUIZ E. O. C.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; FONSECA, MARISA G.; ROSAN, THAIS M.; VEDOVATO, LAURA B.; WAGNER, FABIEN H.; SILVA, CAMILA V. J.; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; ARAI, EGIDIO; AGUIAR, ANA P.; et al. 21st Century drought-related fires counteract the decline of Amazon deforestation carbon emissions. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, v. 9, FEB 13 2018. (11/51841-0, 08/57719-9, 15/50484-0, 08/58120-3)

ZHU, LIYE; MARTIN, MARIA VAL; GATTI, LUCIANA V.; KAHN, RALPH; HECOBIAN, ARSINEH; FISCHER, EMILY V.. Development and implementation of a new biomass burning emissions injection height scheme (BBEIH v1.0) for the GEOS-Chem model (v9-01-01). Geoscientific Model Development, v. 11, n. 10, p. 4103-4116, OCT 11 2018. (08/58120-3)

CABRAL, OSVALDO M. R.; DA ROCHA, HUMBERTO R.; GASH, JOHN H.; FREITAS, HELBER C.; LIGO, MARCOS A. V.. Water and energy fluxes from a woodland savanna (cerrado) in southeast Brazil. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES, v. 4, n. B, p. 22-40, SEP 2015. (08/58120-3)

CABRAL, OSVALDO M. R.; ROCHA, HUMBERTO R.; GASH, JOHN H.; LIGO, MARCOS A. V.; TATSCH, JONATAN D.; FREITAS, HELBER C.; BRASILIO, EMILIA. Water use in a sugarcane plantation. Global Change Biology Bioenergy, v. 4, n. 5, p. 555-565, SEP 2012. (08/58120-3)

SAAD, SANDRA I.; DA ROCHA, HUMBERTO R.; SILVA DIAS, MARIA A. F.; ROSOLEM, RAFAEL. Can the Deforestation Breeze Change the Rainfall in Amazonia? A Case Study for the BR-163 Highway Region. Earth Interactions, v. 14, NOV 2010. (02/09289-9, 08/58120-3, 05/57829-0)

FONSECA, LETICIA D. M.; DALAGNOL, RICARDO; MALHI, YADVINDER; RIFAI, SAMI W.; COSTA, GABRIEL B.; SILVA, THIAGO S. F.; DA ROCHA, HUMBERTO R.; TAVARES, IANE B.; BORMA, LAURA S.. Phenology and Seasonal Ecosystem Productivity in an Amazonian Floodplain Forest. REMOTE SENSING, v. 11, n. 13, JUL 1 2019. (08/58120-3, 13/50531-2, 15/22987-7)

PANGALA, SUNITHA R.; ENRICH-PRAST, ALEX; BASSO, LUANA S.; PEIXOTO, ROBERTA BITTENCOURT; BASTVIKEN, DAVID; HORNIBROOK, EDWARD R. C.; GATTI, LUCIANA V.; MAROTTA, HUMBERTO; BRAUCKS CALAZANS, LUANA SILVA; SAKURAGUI, CASSIA MONICA; et al. Large emissions from floodplain trees close the Amazon methane budget. Nature, v. 552, n. 7684, p. 230+, DEC 14 2017. (11/51841-0, 08/58120-3)

BASSO, LUANA S.; MARANI, LUCIANO; GATTI, V, LUCIANA; MILLER, JOHN B.; GLOOR, MANUEL; MELACK, JOHN; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; TEJADA, GRACIELA; DOMINGUES, LUCAS G.; ARAI, EGIDIO; et al. Amazon methane budget derived from multi-year airborne observations highlights regional variations in emissions. COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT, v. 2, n. 1, NOV 29 2021. (08/58120-3, 20/02656-4, 18/14423-4, 11/51841-0, 19/23654-2, 18/14006-4, 16/02018-2, 19/21789-8, 11/17914-0, 18/18493-7)

CABRAL, OSVALDO M. R.; ROCHA, HUMBERTO R.; GASH, JOHN H.; LIGO, MARCOS A. V.; RAMOS, NILZA PATRICIA; PACKER, ANA PAULA; BATISTA, EUNICE REIS. Fluxes of CO2 above a sugarcane plantation in Brazil. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v. 182, n. SI, p. 54-66, DEC 15 2013. (08/58120-3)

MARCHIORI, NIDIA MARA; ROCHA, HUMBERTO RIBEIRO; TAMASHIRO, JORGE YOSHIO; MARINHO AIDAR, MARCOS PEREIRA. TREE COMMUNITY COMPOSITION AND ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS IN A SECONDARY ATLANTIC FOREST, SERRA DO MAR STATE PARK, SAO PAULO, BRAZIL. Cerne, v. 22, n. 4, p. 501-514, 2016. (08/58120-3, 03/12595-7)

BASSO, LUANA S.; GATTI, LUCIANA V.; GLOOR, MANUEL; MILLER, JOHN B.; DOMINGUES, LUCAS G.; CORREIA, CAIO S. C.; BORGES, VIVIANE F.. Seasonality and interannual variability of CH4 fluxes from the eastern Amazon Basin inferred from atmospheric mole fraction profiles. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, v. 121, n. 1, p. 168-184, JAN 16 2016. (08/58120-3)

GATTI, L. V.; GLOOR, M.; MILLER, J. B.; DOUGHTY, C. E.; MALHI, Y.; DOMINGUES, L. G.; BASSO, L. S.; MARTINEWSKI, A.; CORREIA, C. S. C.; BORGES, V. F.; et al. Drought sensitivity of Amazonian carbon balance revealed by atmospheric measurements. Nature, v. 506, n. 7486, p. 76+, FEB 6 2014. (08/58120-3)

CABRAL, OSVALDO M. R.; GASH, JOHN H. C.; ROCHA, HUMBERTO R.; MARSDEN, CLAIRE; LIGO, MARCOS A. V.; FREITAS, HELBER C.; TATSCH, JONATAN D.; GOMES, EDUARDO. Fluxes of CO2 above a plantation of Eucalyptus in southeast Brazil. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v. 151, n. 1, p. 49-59, JAN 15 2011. (08/58120-3)