| Grant number: | 03/01271-6 |
| Support Opportunities: | Regular Research Grants |
| Start date: | June 01, 2004 |
| End date: | August 31, 2006 |
| Field of knowledge: | Physical Sciences and Mathematics - Geosciences - Meteorology |
| Principal Investigator: | Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha |
| Grantee: | Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha |
| Host Institution: | Instituto de Astronomia, Geofísica e Ciências Atmosféricas (IAG). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). São Paulo , SP, Brazil |
Abstract
Knowledge in advance of a forecast that indicates whether the next wet season will be normal or not represents a huge scientific contribution to society in general. One of the tools to obtain this kind of forecast are regional climatic models, which became feasible at the start of the 1990s. These models make it possible to resolve with greater detail the factors that locally influence the climate of a particular region, in relation to current global climate models, the spatial resolution of which is still insufficient. The present project proposes to use a regional model to study the regime of precipitation and air temperature in the summer in the Southeast region of Brazil with a view to its predictability. Specifically, it is intended to evaluate which representation of the wet processes on meso-scale more precisely reproduces the seasonal forecast of precipitation and air temperature close to the surface, which are important climatic elements for the region being studied. (AU)
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