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Climatic simulations for the summer in the Southeast of the country


Knowledge in advance of a forecast that indicates whether the next wet season will be normal or not represents a huge scientific contribution to society in general. One of the tools to obtain this kind of forecast are regional climatic models, which became feasible at the start of the 1990s. These models make it possible to resolve with greater detail the factors that locally influence the climate of a particular region, in relation to current global climate models, the spatial resolution of which is still insufficient. The present project proposes to use a regional model to study the regime of precipitation and air temperature in the summer in the Southeast region of Brazil with a view to its predictability. Specifically, it is intended to evaluate which representation of the wet processes on meso-scale more precisely reproduces the seasonal forecast of precipitation and air temperature close to the surface, which are important climatic elements for the region being studied. (AU)

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Scientific publications
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
CUADRA‚ S.V.; ROCHA‚ RP. Simulação numérica do clima de verão sobre o Brasil e sua variabilidade. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v. 21, n. 2, p. 271-282, . (03/01271-6)
DA ROCHA, ROSMERI P.; MORALES, CARLOS A.; CUADRA, SANTIAGO V.; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO. Precipitation diurnal cycle and summer climatology assessment over South America: An evaluation of Regional Climate Model version 3 simulations. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, v. 114, . (03/01271-6)
RUBINEI DORNELES MACHADO; ROSMERI PORFÍRIO DA ROCHA. Previsões climáticas sazonais sobre o Brasil: avaliação do RegCM3 aninhado no modelo global CPTEC/COLA. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v. 26, n. 1, p. 121-136, . (03/01271-6)

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