Development of electrical energy price and demand estimator based on intelligent systems applied to smart grids

• Grant number: 13/07843-3
• Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Scientific Initiation
• Start date: July 01, 2013
• End date: June 30, 2015
• Field of knowledge: Engineering - Electrical Engineering - Power Systems
• Principal Investigator: Ricardo Augusto Souza Fernandes
• Grantee: Maristela Silva dos Santos
• Host Institution: Centro de Ciências Exatas e de Tecnologia (CCET). Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR). São Carlos , SP, Brazil

Abstract

This research project has as main objective the implementation of intelligent systems (mainly, Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Inference Systems) with the aim of obtaining electrical energy price and demand estimation. In addition, this research focuses on identifying features that are relevant for these estimators. In order to do that, the early mentioned intelligent systems will be used and their accuracy will be verified in order to guarantee a satisfactory precision rate. Following the context above mentioned, not only the development of tools is intended, but also testing their performances when facing long-term, short-term, and very short-term forecasting scenarios. Furthermore, it is intended to define electric power price categories based on appropriated features. Thus, this method will be employed in the Smart Grid context. (AU)