Optimal fiscal policy in business cycle economies with incomplete markets

• Grant number: 17/18943-0
• Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Doctorate (Direct)
• Start date: December 01, 2017
• End date: July 05, 2020
• Field of knowledge: Applied Social Sciences - Economics - Fiscal and Monetary Policies
• Principal Investigator: Marcelo Rodrigues dos Santos
• Grantee: Luís Gustavo Bettoni
• Host Institution: Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa (Insper). São Paulo , SP, Brazil
• Associated scholarship(s): 18/11520-9 - The effects of public sector employment on inequality and fiscal multiplier, BE.EP.DD

Abstract

Individuals are constantly subject to income shocks that creates uncertainty and can turn the consumption dynamics volatile. In an economy with incomplete markets, this leads to precautionary savings, which increases the aggregate capital cumulation and reduces the interest rate, turning the self-insurance more difficult and costly. The government can counteract such effect through fiscal policy, for instance increasing the taxation progressivity or the level of debt. However, the insurance provision (and the redistribution) by the government usually comes with efficiency loss. The objective of this research project is to analyze what is the optimal fiscal policy design accounting for such trade-off between insurance provision and efficiency in economies with business cycle and incomplete markets. (AU)

Scientific publications

(4)

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

BETTONI, LUIS G.; SANTOS, MARCELO R.. The effects of public sector employment on household savings and labor supply. MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS, v. N/A, p. 27-pg., 2023-06-14. (17/18943-0)

BETTONI, LUIS; SANTOS, MARCELO; FILHO, GILBERTO OLIVEIRA. The impact of microcredit on small firms in Brazil: A potential to promote investment, growth and inclusion. JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING, v. 45, n. 3, p. 17-pg., 2023-05-01. (17/18943-0)

BETTONI, LUIS G.; SANTOS, MARCELO R.. Public sector employment and aggregate fluctuations. JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS, v. 72, p. 16-pg., 2022-03-19. (17/18943-0)

BETTONI, LUIS G.; SANTOS, MARCELO. Optimal fiscal policy in incomplete market business cycle economies. QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, v. 89, p. 9-pg., 2023-04-18. (17/18943-0)