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Raptor abundance in the Brazilian Cerrado and Pantanal: insights from detection-based methods

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Author(s):
Francisco Voeroes Dénes
Total Authors: 1
Document type: Doctoral Thesis
Press: São Paulo.
Institution: Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Instituto de Biociências (IBIOC/SB)
Defense date:
Examining board members:
Luis Fábio Silveira; Marco Antonio Monteiro Granzinolli; Luciano Martins Verdade
Advisor: Luis Fábio Silveira; Jose Carlos Motta Junior
Abstract

Urbanization and the expansion of agricultural frontiers are among the main forces driving the degradation of natural habitats in Neotropical open habitats. Inference and estimates of abundance are critical for quantifying population dynamics and the impacts of environmental change. Yet imperfect detection and other phenomena that cause zero inflation can induce estimation error and obscure ecological patterns. We examine how detection error and zero-inflation in count data of unmarked individuals inform the choice of analytical method for estimating population size. We review established (GLMs and distance sampling) and emerging methods that use N-mixture models (Royle-Nichols model, and basic, zero-inflated, temporary emigration, beta-binomial, generalized open-population, spatially explicit, single-visit and multispecies) to estimate abundance of unmarked populations. As a case study, we employed a single visit N-mixture approach to model roadside raptor count data and investigate how land-use transformations in the Cerrado and Pantanal domains in Brazil have affected the populations of 12 species on a regional scale (>300,000 km2). Methods differ in sampling design requirements, and their suitability will depend on the study species, scale and objectives of the study, and financial and logistical considerations, which should be evaluated to use funds, time and effort efficiently. In the case study, detection of all species was influenced by time of day, with effects that follow expectations based on foraging and flying behavior. Closed vegetation on and carcasses found during surveys also influenced detection of some species. Abundance of most species was negatively influenced by conversion of natural Cerrado and Pantanal habitats to anthropogenic uses, particularly pastures, soybean and sugar cane plantations, even for generalist species usually considered poor habitat-quality indicators. Protection of the remaining natural habitats is essential to prevent further decline of raptor populations in the study area, especially in the Cerrado domain (AU)

FAPESP's process: 10/08528-6 - Birds of prey in the Cerrado and Pantanal biomes of Mato Grosso do Sul state: diversity, abundance, distribution, movements, and effects of habitat degradation.
Grantee:Francisco Voeroes Dénes
Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Doctorate