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Bolsa Família Program: migration, school performance and long-term effect on poverty

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Author(s):
Maria Isabel Accoroni Theodoro Habenschus
Total Authors: 1
Document type: Doctoral Thesis
Press: Ribeirão Preto.
Institution: Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto (PCARP/BC)
Defense date:
Examining board members:
Luiz Guilherme Dacar da Silva Scorzafave; Ricardo Paes de Barros; Cecilia Machado Berriel; André Luis Squarize Chagas; Naercio Aquino Menezes Filho; Daniel Domingues dos Santos
Advisor: Luiz Guilherme Dacar da Silva Scorzafave
Abstract

This work consists of three articles dedicated to studying different aspects of the Bolsa Família Program. The first article analyzes whether children and young people from beneficiary families are managing to stop being beneficiaries of the program over time, as well as studying the determinants of permanence in the program until 2015. For this purpose, the permanence rate in the PBF was calculated over the entire duration of the program for a cohort of PBF beneficiaries who were 10 years old in 2005. In particular, we assessed whether the likelihood of continuing as a PBF beneficiary for a longer period depended on characteristics of the individual, his family (being male, white, have more younger and older siblings) and the municipality where they live (IDEB, percentage of poor and income inequality, population size, GDP per capita and metropolitan region). The second article investigates whether participation in the PBF changes the migration of individuals residing in the Brazilian semiarid using individual longitudinal data from the Single Registry for Social Programs of the Federal Government. Two investigations were carried out. We first investigated whether being a beneficiary of the PBF in 2011 affects the likelihood of migration to another municipality in 2012. Then, we analyze the effect of migration on the likelihood of an individual being a beneficiary of the PBF in 2012, separately for individuals who were beneficiaries of the PBF or not in 2011. The results found indicate that the PBF contributes to reduce the probability of migration of the beneficiaries and, in addition, migration affects the probability of participation in the PBF after migration differently for beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries of the PBF in the moment before the occurrence of the migration. Finally, the third article investigates the effects of the Bolsa Família Program (PBF) on the educational results of young people in the state of Ceará with a history of school backwardness. To measure the impact of the PBF, we explored an exogenous variation in program coverage that benefits individuals differently depending on their dates of birth. For that, the Discontinuous Regression method was used and the results indicate that an extra year of receiving the BVJ does not have a significant effect on any of the investigated school outcomes (proficiency in mathematics and Portuguese at the end of the last year of high school for young people who had one year of school delay, promotion and dropout from the first to the second year of high school for young people with two years of school delay). This lack of effect of the BVJ additional year found in this work corroborates the results of other studies and is essential to understand how current public policies fail to mitigate the problem of irregular school trajectories and the distortions in the choices of young people to guarantee the right to education provided for in the Brazilian Constitution. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 17/02861-4 - Intergenerational Transmission of Poverty: Is Bolsa Família Program allowing households escape this trap?
Grantee:Maria Isabel Accoroni Theodoro Habenschus
Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Doctorate