Advanced search
Start date
Betweenand


Poisson, Bayes, Soccer and DeFinetti

Full text
Author(s):
Marcelo Leme de Arruda
Total Authors: 1
Document type: Master's Dissertation
Press: São Paulo.
Institution: Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Instituto de Matemática e Estatística (IME/SBI)
Defense date:
Examining board members:
Sergio Wechsler; Gauss Moutinho Cordeiro; Adilson Simonis
Advisor: Sergio Wechsler
Abstract

This dissertation deals with the problem of probabilistic previsions for tricotomic events, in addiction with the question of comparison of quality of the previsions, by using calibration curves and the DeFinetti Measure. An application is developed for previsions of soccer games results. (AU)