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(Reference retrieved automatically from Web of Science through information on FAPESP grant and its corresponding number as mentioned in the publication by the authors.)

Paraconsistent Probabilities: Consistency, Contradictions and Bayes' Theorem

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Bueno-Soler, Juliana ; Carnielli, Walter
Total Authors: 2
Document type: Journal article
Source: Entropy; v. 18, n. 9 SEP 2016.
Web of Science Citations: 2

This paper represents the first steps towards constructing a paraconsistent theory of probability based on the Logics of Formal Inconsistency (LFIs). We show that LFIs encode very naturally an extension of the notion of probability able to express sophisticated probabilistic reasoning under contradictions employing appropriate notions of conditional probability and paraconsistent updating, via a version of Bayes' theorem for conditionalization. We argue that the dissimilarity between the notions of inconsistency and contradiction, one of the pillars of LFIs, plays a central role in our extended notion of probability. Some critical historical and conceptual points about probability theory are also reviewed. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 10/51038-0 - Logical consequence, reasoning and computation - LOGCONS
Grantee:Walter Alexandre Carnielli
Support type: Research Projects - Thematic Grants