Advanced search
Start date
Betweenand


Enhancing the Forecast of Ocean Physical Variables through Physics Informed Machine Learning in the Santos Estuary, Brazil

Full text
Author(s):
Moreno, Felipe M. ; Schiaveto Neto, Luiz A. ; Cozman, Fabio G. ; Dottori, Marcelo ; Tannuri, Eduardo A. ; IEEE
Total Authors: 6
Document type: Journal article
Source: OCEANS 2022; v. N/A, p. 7-pg., 2022-01-01.
Abstract

This work aims to improve the forecast of surface currents in the entrance of the Santos estuary in Brazil by applying Quantile Regression Forests (QRF) to estimate the error of the Santos Operational Forecasting System (SOFS), a physics-based numerical model for the region. This was achieved by using in-situ data, measured between 2019 and 2021, associated with historical forecasted data from the SOFS. The use of QRF to correct the SOFS forecasts led to a increase in skill of 0.332 in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and almost eliminated the bias error of the predicted currents. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 19/07665-4 - Center for Artificial Intelligence
Grantee:Fabio Gagliardi Cozman
Support Opportunities: Research Grants - Research Program in eScience and Data Science - Research Centers in Engineering Program
FAPESP's process: 20/16746-5 - Physics-informed machine learning applied for forecasting metocean conditions
Grantee:Felipe Marino Moreno
Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Doctorate