Implications of climate change on the Arco Norte logistic system

• Grant number: 23/08020-2
• Support Opportunities: Regular Research Grants
• Start date: November 01, 2024
• End date: October 31, 2026
• Field of knowledge: Applied Social Sciences - Economics - Agrarian and Natural Resource Economics
• Principal Investigator: Andréa Leda Ramos de Oliveira
• Grantee: Andréa Leda Ramos de Oliveira
• Host Institution: Faculdade de Engenharia Agrícola (FEAGRI). Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP). Campinas , SP, Brazil
• Associated researchers: Akebo Yamakami ; Carlos Eduardo Aguiar de Souza Costa ; Janaina Antonino Pinto ; José Maria Ferreira Jardim da Silveira ; Karina Braga Marsola ; Matheus Melo de Souza
• Associated research grant(s): 25/13905-9 - Modeling the Vulnerability of Logistics Infrastructure in the Arco Norte Region under Climate Scenarios, AP.R

Abstract

The advance of the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Northern Arc region implies negative externalities related to environmental and socioeconomic issues, mainly under the influence of climate change. The strategic location, due to the proximity of the ports to international consumer markets and the wide availability of more sustainable intermodal transport routes, makes this region play a central role in this process. Despite the natural logistic aptitude, the region aggregates different biomes, ample biodiversity and great susceptibility to the impacts of climate change, accentuating the debates as to the dichotomy of agricultural expansion versus environmental preservation. As for soybean production, different factors contribute to its spatial distribution, with the concentration of investments in technology and infrastructure being one of the main ones. The present research project aims to assess whether the expansion of soybeans in agricultural frontier regions under climate change scenarios affects logistical efficiency. This research will contribute directly to the understanding of the components of the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Northern Arc, as well as assist in strategic planning and execution of infrastructure works, in terms of subsidizing sustainable public policies for the promotion of the development of Brazilian agribusiness. (AU)