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Macroecology of anuran amphibians from Cerrado and Atlantic Forest: species distribution modelling, influence of climate changes and priority areas for conservation

Grant number: 11/18510-0
Support type:Research Program on Global Climate Change - Young Investigators
Duration: May 01, 2012 - April 30, 2017
Field of knowledge:Biological Sciences - Ecology
Principal Investigator:Tiago da Silveira Vasconcelos
Grantee:Tiago da Silveira Vasconcelos
Home Institution: Faculdade de Ciências (FC). Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP). Campus de Bauru. Bauru , SP, Brazil
Assoc. researchers:Célio Fernando Baptista Haddad ; Denise de Cerqueira Rossa-Feres ; Levi Carina Terribile ; Marcelo Felgueiras Napoli ; Tiago Gomes dos Santos
Associated scholarship(s):15/22135-0 - Climate change and anuran richness patterns in the Brazilian Cerrado: predictive models using the maximum entropy approach, BP.IC
13/25145-1 - Macroecology of anuran amphibians from Cerrado and Atlantic Forest: species distribution modelling, influence of climate changes and priority areas for conservation, BP.IC
13/06612-8 - Macroecology of anuran amphibians from Cerrado and Atlantic Forest: species distribution modelling, influence of climate changes and priority areas for conservation, BP.TT
12/07765-0 - Macroecology of anuran amphibians from cerrado and Atlantic Forest: species distribution modelling, influence of climate changes and priority areas for conservation, BP.JP.PFPMCG

Abstract

Species distribution modeling (SDM) predicts the species distribution by the association among climatic variables and known occurrence records of a given species. This methodology either represents a promising alternative to generating species distribution in poorly sampled regions or for those taxonomic groups lacking specialists. Although Brazil is considered the richest country in relation to amphibians, most species remain poorly studied regarding their natural history, ecology, or even geographic distribution. To address this knowledge gap regarding the geographic distribution of amphibians in the Brazilian biomes Cerrado and Atlantic Forest, the general purpose of this project is to generate a continuously updated point occurrence database and determine the potential distribution for all possible species in these biomes. This database will make possible the development of the following three specific purposes: a) to determine the potential distribution of poorly studied, recently described, and/or threatened species, taking into account specific methodologies for species with few points of occurrence or implementing non-climatic variables in the modeling process; b) to determine the species' potential distribution under a climate change scenario, in order to identify areas with potential increased or decreased species richness in the future; and c) to use the species' potential distribution to determining priority areas for amphibian conservation in the mentioned biomes, considering different biological metrics (species richness, beta diversity, endemism, and presence of threatened species). (AU)

Articles published in Agência FAPESP about the research grant
Climate change may drive 10% of amphibian species in Brazil's Atlantic Rainforest to extinction  
Climate change threatens treefrogs 

Scientific publications (10)
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; PRADO, VITOR H. M. Climate change and opposing spatial conservation priorities for anuran protection in the Brazilian hotspots. JOURNAL FOR NATURE CONSERVATION, v. 49, p. 118-124, JUN 2019. Web of Science Citations: 0.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; DO NASCIMENTO, BRUNO T. M.; PRADO, VITOR H. M. Expected impacts of climate change threaten the anuran diversity in the Brazilian hotspots. ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION, v. 8, n. 16, p. 7894-7906, AUG 2018. Web of Science Citations: 1.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO SILVEIRA; ANTONELLI, CAIO PASTANA; NAPOLI, MARCELO FELGUEIRAS. Mutualism influences species distribution predictions for a bromeliad-breeding anuran under climate change. AUSTRAL ECOLOGY, v. 42, n. 7, p. 869-877, NOV 2017. Web of Science Citations: 2.
ODA, FABRICIO H.; AVILA, ROBSON W.; DRUMMOND, LEANDRO DE O.; SANTOS, DANUSY L.; GAMBALE, PRISCILLA G.; GUERRA, VINICIUS; VIEIRA, RAIAA ROMENIA S.; VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; BASTOS, ROGERIO P.; NOMURA, FAUSTO. Reptile surveys reveal high species richness in areas recovering from mining activity in the Brazilian Cerrado. BIOLOGIA, v. 72, n. 10, p. 1194-1210, OCT 2017. Web of Science Citations: 1.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; DORO, JOO LUCAS P. Assessing how habitat loss restricts the geographic range of Neotropical anurans. ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH, v. 31, n. 6, p. 913-921, NOV 2016. Web of Science Citations: 1.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; DO NASCIMENTO, BRUNO T. M. Potential Climate-Driven Impacts on the Distribution of Generalist Treefrogs in South America. Herpetologica, v. 72, n. 1, p. 23-31, MAR 2016. Web of Science Citations: 5.
DELATORRE, M.; VASCONCELOS, T. S.; CUNHA, N. L.; MARTINS, I, F.; ODA, F. H.; AOKI, C.; LANDGREF-FILHO, P. Implementing new northernmost records to modelling the distribution of Hypsiboas caingua (Anura: Hylidae) in South America. Brazilian Journal of Biology, v. 74, n. 4, p. 854-860, NOV 2014. Web of Science Citations: 0.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; PRADO, VITOR H. M.; DA SILVA, FERNANDO R.; HADDAD, CELIO F. B. Biogeographic Distribution Patterns and Their Correlates in the Diverse Frog Fauna of the Atlantic Forest Hotspot. PLoS One, v. 9, n. 8 AUG 20 2014. Web of Science Citations: 16.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO S.; NASCIMENTO, BRUNO T. M. The utility of open-access biodiversity information in representing anurans in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest and Cerrado. Phyllomedusa, v. 13, n. 1, p. 51-58, AUG 2014. Web of Science Citations: 4.
VASCONCELOS, TIAGO DA SILVEIRA. Tracking climatically suitable areas for an endemic Cerrado snake under climate change. NATUREZA & CONSERVAÇÃO, v. 12, n. 1, p. 47-52, JUN 2014. Web of Science Citations: 5.

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