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Imprecise probabilities and de Finetti's theorems

Grant number: 12/14764-0
Support Opportunities:Scholarships abroad - Research
Start date: February 01, 2013
End date: January 31, 2014
Field of knowledge:Physical Sciences and Mathematics - Probability and Statistics - Applied Probability and Statistics
Principal Investigator:Marcio Alves Diniz
Grantee:Marcio Alves Diniz
Host Investigator: Gert de Cooman
Host Institution: Centro de Ciências Exatas e de Tecnologia (CCET). Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR). São Carlos , SP, Brazil
Institution abroad: Ghent University (UGent), Belgium  

Abstract

The goal of this project is to study the theoretical results formulated by Bruno de Finetti following the approach of subjective probabilities. Particularly, we want to study the importance of such results and the relationship between the two fundamental theorems demonstrated by him. The first one, known as the fundamental theorem of probability, has a direct relationship with the second, known as de Finetti's representation theorem. By considering the relationship between de Finetti's theorems with other areas of mathematics, another objective is to investigate the connection between de Finetti's theorems and fundamental theorems of other correlated areas such as functional analysis, convex analysis and finance. As initial idea, we want to investigate the fundamental theorem of asset pricing. (AU)

News published in Agência FAPESP Newsletter about the scholarship:
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Scientific publications
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
DE BOCK, JASPER; VAN CAMP, ARTHUR; DINIZ, MARCIO A.; DE COOMAN, GERT. Representation theorems for partially exchangeable random variables. FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, v. 284, p. 1-30, . (12/14764-0)
DE COOMAN, GERT; DE BOCK, JASPER; DINIZ, MARCIO ALVES. Coherent Predictive Inference under Exchangeability with Imprecise Probabilities. JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH, v. 52, p. 1-95, . (12/14764-0)
DINIZ, MARCIO A.; DE BOCK, JASPER; VAN CAMP, ARTHUR. Characterizing Dirichlet Priors. AMERICAN STATISTICIAN, v. 70, n. 1, p. 9-17, . (12/14764-0)