Scenarios simulation agricultural futures for maize in Brazil based on climate change projections

• Grant number: 16/06363-6
• Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Master
• Start date: June 01, 2016
• End date: February 28, 2018
• Field of knowledge: Agronomical Sciences - Agronomy - Agricultural Meteorology
• Principal Investigator: Fabio Ricardo Marin
• Grantee: Tamires Teles de Souza
• Host Institution: Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz (ESALQ). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Piracicaba , SP, Brazil

Abstract

Corn (Zea mays) is considered as one of the most important crops grown worldwide due to its chemical composition, nutritional value and its production potential, thus presenting considerable relevance in the socio-economic aspects. several factors interfere with the performance of culture and, among them, the climate is among those offering the biggest challenges for planning and management culture. Given the importance of the culture in national and global context, it is important to consider the future projections of production grain on climate change and consequently on food security in next years. Thus, we intend to evaluate the climate change impact on thegrowth and development of maize using a growth model plants, based on biophysical processes. For the calibration model will be used data obtained experimentally through scientific literature and simulation climate change scenarios will be held according to the program approach AgMIP. It is intended to work with the CERES -MAIZE / DSSAT model, with at least threeglobal climate circulation models (GCM's) regionalized and two economic scenarios (oremission) for the period 2040-2069(representing 2050). With this, the project contribute information relevant to maize front climate change global, as well as growth models studies of cultures in Brazil.

Scientific publications

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

SOBENKO, LUIZ R.; SOUZA, TAMIRES T.; GONCALVES, ALEXANDRE O.; BIANCHINI, VITOR J. M.; SILVA, EVANDRO H. E. M.; SOUZA, LAIS T.; MARIN, FABIO R.. IRRIGATION REQUIREMENTS ARE LOWER THAN THOSE USUALLY PRESCRIBED FOR A MAIZE CROP IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL. EXPERIMENTAL AGRICULTURE, v. 55, n. 4, p. 662-671, AUG 2019. (16/17008-2, 16/06363-6, 17/20925-0, 14/50023-0, 14/12406-4)

TAMIRES TELES DE SOUZA; LUÍS ALBERTO SILVA ANTOLIN; VITOR DE JESUS MARTINS BIANCHINI; RODOLFO ARMANDO DE ALMEIDA PEREIRA; EVANDRO HENRIQUE FIGUEIREDO MOURA SILVA; FÁBIO RICARDO MARIN. Longer crop cycle lengths could offset the negative effects of climate change on Brazilian maize. Bragantia, v. 78, n. 4, p. 622-631, 2019-12-13. (14/12406-4, 16/06363-6, 17/50445-0, 17/20925-0)

Academic Publications

(References retrieved automatically from State of São Paulo Research Institutions)

SOUZA, Tamires Teles de. Simulation of future agricultural scenarios for maize crop based on projections of climate change. 2018. Master's Dissertation - Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz (ESALA/BC) Piracicaba.