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Stochastic programming and robust optimization in the production planning of furniture industries

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Author(s):
Douglas José Alem Júnior
Total Authors: 1
Document type: Doctoral Thesis
Press: São Carlos.
Institution: Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Instituto de Ciências Matemáticas e de Computação (ICMC/SB)
Defense date:
Examining board members:
Reinaldo Morabito Neto; Alysson Machado Costa; Paulo Augusto Valente Ferreira; Maria do Socorro Nogueira Rangel; Cid Carvalho de Souza
Advisor: Reinaldo Morabito Neto
Abstract

Production planning procedures in small-size furniture companies commonly consist of decisions with respect to production level and inventory policy, while attempting to minimize trim-loss, backlogging and overtime usage throughout the planning horizon. Managing these decisions in a tractable and efficient way is often a challenge, especially when the uncertainty of data is taken into account. In this thesis, we develop optimization models to support these decisions in the context of the combined lot-sizing and cutting-stock problem that arises in furniture companies. To deal with data uncertainty, we investigate two methodologies: stochastic programming and robust optimization. In the former case, we propose two-stage stochastic programming models with recourse, as well as robust stochastic models to incorporate risk-aversion. In the latter case, our motivation to investigate robust optimization models is the lack of an explicit probabilistic description of the input data. Furthermore, we want to avoid dealing with a large number of scenarios, which typically lead to computationally intractable stochastic programming models. Numerical experiments based on real data from a small-size furniture plant show that the solutions of the stochastic programming models provide robust production plans so that the decision-maker can assign his or her risk preferences to the model and control the tradeoff between the expected total cost and solution robustness. Regarding the results from the robust optimization models, we provide some insights into the relationship among budgets of uncertainty, fill rates and optimal values. Moreover, numerical evidence indicate that less conservative budgets of uncertainty result in reasonable service levels with cheaper global costs, while worst case deterministic approaches lead to relatively good fill rates, but with prohibitive global costs (AU)