Advanced search
Start date
Betweenand
(Reference retrieved automatically from Web of Science through information on FAPESP grant and its corresponding number as mentioned in the publication by the authors.)

Precautionary risks for an open economy

Full text
Author(s):
Ferreira, Alex [1] ; Matos, Paulo [2]
Total Authors: 2
Affiliation:
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Econ, Av Bandeirantes 3900, Ribeirao Preto, SP - Brazil
[2] Univ Fed Ceara, Dept Econ, Av Univ 2760, Fortaleza, Ceara - Brazil
Total Affiliations: 2
Document type: Journal article
Source: INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE; v. 70, p. 154-167, NOV 2020.
Web of Science Citations: 0
Abstract

Our empirical investigation reveals that the variance of foreign consumption is much higher than the variance of domestic consumption growth for the domestic United States of America (US) resident. We show that precautionary savings in foreign currency arise because of this volatility differential between domestic and imported consumption growth. These open economy stochastic discount factors are later shown to be strongly positively correlated with the US business cycle. We present evidence that the precautionary currency risk must be seen through the lens of an open economy model rather than the traditional durable/non-durable closed economy separation. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 12/11720-1 - Currency risk and transaction costs in the Brazilian treasury market
Grantee:Alex Luiz Ferreira
Support Opportunities: Scholarships abroad - Research