Incorporation of kriging in modal choice models

• Grant number: 13/25035-1
• Support Opportunities: Regular Research Grants
• Start date: October 01, 2014
• End date: September 30, 2016
• Field of knowledge: Engineering - Transportation Engineering - Transportation Planning
• Principal Investigator: Cira Souza Pitombo
• Grantee: Cira Souza Pitombo
• Host Institution: Escola de Engenharia de São Carlos (EESC). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). São Carlos , SP, Brazil
• Associated researchers: Ana Rita Gonçalves Neves Lopes Salgueiro ; Anabele Lindner ; André Luiz Barbosa Nunes da Cunha ; António Jorge Gonçalves de Sousa ; José Alberto Quintanilha ; Mariana Abrantes Giannotti

Abstract

This project, with estimated duration of 24 months, falls within a research line in the scope of transport and spatial data analysis, introduced by the proponent with inter-institutional participation and master's studies supervision, in progress and concluded. The project aims to continue the development of research that employs the use of geostatistics techniques to transport modeling. The main objective is to incorporate kriging techniques to forecasts modal choice, seeking reasonable probability estimation for modal choice in known and unknown geographical coordinates. Initially, the utilities functions of travel modes will be calibrated, considering: individual disaggregated characteristics, travel variables and home traffic zone characteristics, in order to estimate the probability of modal choice in surveyed households and determine the numeric variable to be kriging. The application of spatial data analysis technique (geostatistics-ordinary kriging) will be held through the modal choice probabilities obtained by discrete models choice, allowing the probabilities estimation of modal choice in unsampled households. The database to be used will be obtained from the Origin-Destination Survey undertaken in 2007/2008 in São Carlos city (SP). It is expected to bring academics benefits with reference work for future applications. (AU)

Scientific publications

(6)

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

PITOMBO, CIRA SOUZA; SALGUEIRO, ANA RITA; GOMES DA COSTA, ALINE SCHINDLER; ISLER, CASSIANO AUGUSTO. A two-step method for mode choice estimation with socioeconomic and spatial information. SPATIAL STATISTICS, v. 11, p. 45-64, FEB 2015. (13/25035-1)

MARQUES, SAMUEL DE FRANCA; PITOMBO, CIRA SOUZA. Ridership Estimation Along Bus Transit Lines Based on Kriging: Comparative Analysis Between Network and Euclidean Distances. JOURNAL OF GEOVISUALIZATION AND SPATIAL ANALYSIS, v. 5, n. 1, JUN 2021. (19/12054-4, 13/25035-1)

LINDNER, ANABELE; PITOMBO, CIRA SOUZA. Sequential Gaussian Simulation as a Promising Tool in Travel Demand Modeling. JOURNAL OF GEOVISUALIZATION AND SPATIAL ANALYSIS, v. 3, n. 2, p. 14-pg., 2019-12-01. (13/25035-1)

PITOMBO, CIRA SOUZA; DE SOUZA, ANDREZA DORNELAS; LINDNER, ANABELE. Comparing decision tree algorithms to estimate intercity trip distribution. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES, v. 77, p. 16-32, APR 2017. (13/25035-1)

LINDNER, ANABELE; PITOMBO, CIRA SOUZA; ROCHA, SAMILLE SANTOS; QUINTANILHA, JOSE ALBERTO. Estimation of transit trip production using Factorial Kriging with External Drift: an aggregated data case study. GEO-SPATIAL INFORMATION SCIENCE, v. 19, n. 4, p. 245-254, 2016. (13/25035-1)

LINDNER, ANABELE; PITOMBO, CIRA SOUZA; CUNHA, ANDRE LUIZ. Estimating motorized travel mode choice using classifiers: An application for high-dimensional multicollinear data. TRAVEL BEHAVIOUR AND SOCIETY, v. 6, p. 100-109, JAN 2017. (13/25035-1)