| Full text | |
| Author(s): |
Total Authors: 3
|
| Affiliation: | [1] Duke Univ, Franklin Human Inst, Durham, NC 27708 - USA
[2] City Univ London, Dept Sociol, London EC1R 0JD - England
[3] Univ Quebec, Dept Math, Montreal, PQ H2X 3Y7 - Canada
Total Affiliations: 3
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| Document type: | Journal article |
| Source: | JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION; v. 65, n. 2, p. 320-350, APR 2015. |
| Web of Science Citations: | 23 |
| Abstract | |
Recent protests have fuelled deliberations about the extent to which social media ignites popular uprisings. In this article, we use time-series data of Twitter, Facebook, and onsite protests to assess the Granger causality between social media streams and onsite developments at the Indignados, Occupy, and Brazilian Vinegar protests. After applying Gaussianization to the data, we found contentious communication on Twitter and Facebook forecasted onsite protest during the Indignados and Occupy protests, with bidirectional Granger causality between online and onsite protest in the Occupy series. Conversely, the Vinegar demonstrations presented Granger causality between Facebook and Twitter communication, and separately between protestors and injuries/arrests onsite. We conclude that the effective forecasting of protest activity likely varies across different instances of political unrest. (AU) | |
| FAPESP's process: | 11/22495-6 - Newscluster: newsmaking in the Twittersphere |
| Grantee: | Marco Toledo de Assis Bastos |
| Support Opportunities: | Scholarships abroad - Research Internship - Post-doctor |
| FAPESP's process: | 10/06243-4 - NETCLUSTERING: a theoretical model for emerging networks |
| Grantee: | Marco Toledo de Assis Bastos |
| Support Opportunities: | Scholarships in Brazil - Post-Doctoral |