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Grant number: 12/16717-9
Support Opportunities:Scholarships in Brazil - Doctorate
Effective date (Start): November 01, 2012
Effective date (End): July 31, 2015
Field of knowledge:Health Sciences - Collective Health - Epidemiology
Principal Investigator:Edson Zangiacomi Martinez
Grantee:Elisangela Aparecida da Silva Lizzi
Host Institution: Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto (FMRP). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Ribeirão Preto , SP, Brazil


This research project aims to investigate the spatio-temporal patterns of notified AIDS cases between the years 2000 to 2008 in São Paulo, SP, considering 96 Administrative Districts, as well as their associations with sociodemographic characteristics and social vulnerability of these areas. This is an ecological study. The tools used for estimating incidence rates and data analysis are Bayesian regression models that incorporate temporal and spatial effects. These models include random effects with a CAR (autoregressive conditional) normal distribution that capture the influence of adjacent areas on the number of cases reported in each region. Estimates of model parameters will be obtained by the method of stochastic simulation MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo). Are also performed stratified analyzes by sex and age groups (18 years, 19 to 59 years, 60 years or more), based on the same regression models, which will be explored changes among the incidence ratios of disease among men and women over time and how the incidence of AIDS have changed within the period in each of the age ranges. The results will be useful to support the planning of health policies and actions directed towards the control of AIDS in areas and populations at risk in São Paulo.

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Scientific publications
(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)
DA SILVA LIZZI, ELISANGELA APARECIDA; NUNES, ALTACILIO APARECIDO; MARTINEZ, EDSON ZANGIACOMI. Spatiotemporal Analysis of AIDS Incidence Among Adults in Brazil. CURRENT HIV RESEARCH, v. 14, n. 6, p. 466-475, . (12/16717-9)
EDSON ZANGIACOMI MARTINEZ; MIRIANE LUCINDO ZUCOLOTO; GUILHERME GALDINO; ALTACÍLIO APARECIDO NUNES; ELISANGELA APARECIDA DA SILVA LIZZI. Spatiotemporal distribution of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome incidence in Brazil between 2012 and 2016. Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v. 53, . (12/16717-9)
DA SILVA LIZZI, ELISANGELA APARECIDA; NUNES, ALTACILIO APARECIDO; MARTINEZ, EDSON ZANGIACOMI. Spatiotemporal patterns of AIDS incidence among adults in São Paulo, Brazil. Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v. 52, . (12/16717-9)
Academic Publications
(References retrieved automatically from State of São Paulo Research Institutions)
LIZZI, Elisangela Aparecida da Silva. Spatiotemporal patterns in the incidence of AIDS in São Paulo city, Brazil. 2015. Doctoral Thesis - Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto (PCARP/BC) Ribeirão Preto.

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