Modes of variability of the rainfall in São Paulo: local, regional and remote connections

• Grant number: 13/04485-9
• Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Master
• Start date: July 01, 2013
• End date: June 30, 2015
• Field of knowledge: Physical Sciences and Mathematics - Geosciences - Physical Geography
• Principal Investigator: Lucí Hidalgo Nunes
• Grantee: Guilherme Henrique Gabriel
• Host Institution: Instituto de Geociências (IG). Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP). Campinas , SP, Brazil
• Associated research grant: 08/58161-1 - Assessment of impacts and vulnerability to climate change in Brazil and strategies for adaptation option, AP.PFPMCG.TEM

Abstract

Because rainfall is an element of enormous influence on human activities and physical processes, its comprehension subsidizes various areas, and thus the understanding of its variability demands constant research, especially in areas of deep and rapid transformation, such as the state São Paulo. This research seeks to understand the dominant modes that determine the patterns and trends that drive the rain in this federation, which concentrates most of the population and the economic and financial activities of the country. The series of precipitation will be splitted into two similar periods that will be compared by conventional and multivariate statistical techniques and by the gamma distribution parameters. Spatial patterns will be identified and assessed considering the local and regional systems, but also influences of possible teleconnections. The results will be mapped using geoprocessing and discussed qualitatively in terms of their environmental impact. (AU)