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(Reference retrieved automatically from Web of Science through information on FAPESP grant and its corresponding number as mentioned in the publication by the authors.)

COVID-19 crisis monitor: assessing the effectiveness of exit strategies in the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil

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Author(s):
Haddad, Eduardo A. [1, 2] ; Vieira, Renato S. [3] ; Araujo, Inacio F. [1] ; Ichihara, Silvio M. [4] ; Perobelli, Fernando S. [5] ; Bugarin, Karina S. S. [6]
Total Authors: 6
Affiliation:
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Econ, Sao Paulo - Brazil
[2] Univ Mohammed VI Polytech, Fac Gouvernance Sci Econ & Sociales, Ben Guerir - Morocco
[3] Univ Catolica Brasilia, Dept Econ, Brasilia, DF - Brazil
[4] DERSA, Secretariat Logist & Transportat, Sao Paulo - Brazil
[5] Univ Fed Juiz de Fora, Dept Econ, Juiz De Fora - Brazil
[6] Econ & Polit Res Grp, Brasilia, DF - Brazil
Total Affiliations: 6
Document type: Journal article
Source: ANNALS OF REGIONAL SCIENCE; NOV 2021.
Web of Science Citations: 0
Abstract

As COVID-19-related health indicators improve after restrictive measures were set in place in different parts of the world, governments are expected to guide how to ease interventions while minimizing the risk of resurgent outbreaks. Whereas epidemiologists track the progress of the disease using daily indicators to understand the pandemic better, economic activity indicators are usually available at a lower frequency and with considerable time lags. We propose and implement a timely trade-based regional economic activity indicator (EAI) that uses high-frequency traffic data to monitor daily sectoral economic activity in different sectors for the Brazilian State of Sao Paulo, a highly impacted region, overcoming the challenge of real-time assessment of the economy amid the COVID-19 outbreak. We then use this novel set of information combined with hospitalization rates to provide a first assessment of the Sao Paulo Plan, the COVID-19 exit strategy designed to gradually lifting interventions introduced to control the outbreak in the State. Available data show that, in its first 60 days, the phased strategy pursued in Sao Paulo has been effective in gradually reactivating economic activity while maintaining the adequate responsiveness of the healthcare system. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 14/50848-9 - INCT 2014: INCT for Climate Change
Grantee:Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini
Support Opportunities: Research Program on Global Climate Change - Thematic Grants
FAPESP's process: 19/00057-9 - Agricultural and agro-industrial sustainability in Chile: modeling the impacts of climate change and natural disasters in an integrated framework
Grantee:Inácio Fernandes de Araújo Junior
Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Technical Training Program - Technical Training