INCT 2014: INCT for Climate Change

• Grant number: 14/50848-9
• Support Opportunities: Research Program on Global Climate Change - Thematic Grants
• Start date: July 01, 2017
• End date: June 30, 2025
• Field of knowledge: Physical Sciences and Mathematics - Geosciences
• Agreement: CNPq - INCTs
• Principal Investigator: Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini
• Grantee: Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini
• Host Institution: Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Nacionais (CEMADEN). Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação (Brasil). Cachoeira Paulista , SP, Brazil
• Pesquisadores principais:( Atuais ): Eduardo Amaral Haddad ; Eduardo Delgado Assad ; Eduardo Mario Mendiondo ; Fernando Ramos Martins ; Paulo Nobre ; Regina Célia dos Santos Alvalá ; Renzo Romano Taddei
• Pesquisadores principais:( Anteriores ): Antonio Carlos Rodrigues de Amorim ; Carlos Alberto Vogt ; Chou Sin Chan ; Enio Bueno Pereira
• Associated research grant(s): 21/09683-0 - Climate change, interdisciplinarity and scientific communication, AV.BR; 19/15082-9 - Solar World Congress 2019 - Innovation in Transforming Energy Systems and Markets to 100% Renewable Energy, AR.EXT; 19/17130-0 - Economics of climate change: gravitational models of trade and applied models of spatial econometrics, AV.EXT; 18/08413-6 - UK-Brazil collaboration for investigating the nexus between water, health and urban resilience, AP.R SPRINT; 18/08287-0 - Improving water and food security in South America through the prediction of the timing of the rainy season, AP.R SPRINT
• Associated scholarship(s): 24/18839-1 - Economic measures for adaptation to hydrological anomalies: analyses using computable general equilibrium models for Brazilian hydrographic regions, BP.PD; 24/18374-9 - Impact of aerosols on the solar energy potential in Brazil, BP.PD; 24/05084-2 - High-Resolution Climate Change Modeling, BP.PD; + associated scholarships 23/15717-0 - School and Student Disaster Vulnerability Index in the Context of Climate Change and early warning, BP.PD; 23/13978-0 - STATISTICAL METHODS APPLIED TO CLIMATE PROJECTIONS FOR SOLAR AND WIND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT IN BRAZIL, BP.TT; 23/13023-0 - Journalistic and Artistic Divulgation of INCT Climate Change - 2nd phase, BP.TT; 23/05950-9 - Identification of the vulnerable population to disasters in Brazilian capitals in the context of the early warning system., BP.TT; 22/10281-6 - Application of the Auto-LSTM model for solar energy forecasting in photovoltaic power systems, BP.MS; 22/14839-1 - Scientific dissemination of the INCT Climate Change - 2nd phase, BP.TT; 22/05452-6 - Impact of gender diversity on several approaches, BP.DR; 18/06093-4 - Multidisciplinary research methods on disaster risk research: inputs for building people-centered and multihazards early warning systems, BE.PQ; 20/15754-4 - Methods of statistical refinement of climate projections for quantification of solar and wind potentials in Brazil, BP.TT; 20/07175-4 - Journalistic dissemination of the INCT Climate Changes - 2nd phase, BP.TT; 19/13707-1 - Political environmental cycles: how election incentives affect environmental policy and forest conservation outcomes, BP.PD; 19/19673-1 - Effect of natural infrastructure on watershed hydrometeorology in Southeastern Brazil under the impact of climate changes, BP.TT; 19/05361-8 - Impact of aerosols on the Brazilian solar energy resource potential, BP.PD; 18/20865-0 - Sizing, economic analysis and dynamic-modular design of biorretentions from the perspective of climate change and land use, BP.MS; 19/02913-0 - Science communication of the INCT-II Climate Change, BP.TT; 18/08833-5 - Urbanization and climate change: impact evaluation in the Metropolitan Region of São Paulo, BP.DR; 18/22195-1 - New method of valuation of hydrological services using water supply and demand permanence curves under climate change, BP.IC; 18/16312-5 - A spacial impact analysis of water accessibility on farming in the Brazilian semiarid, BP.IC; 18/17810-9 - Compilation of atmospheric properties of the Amazon, aiming to analyze their impact on the ecosystem, BP.TT; 18/02081-1 - Assessing the Climate and Weather Effects in Brazil using Panel Data, BE.PQ; 18/02982-9 - Influence of different scenarios of land use and land cover in Amazonia on the climate change projections over the La Plata River Basin, BP.PD; 17/15614-5 - Decentralized urban runoff recycling facility addressing the security of the water-energy-food nexus, BP.DR; 18/06204-0 - Implementation of software infrastructure for the development of the BESM-Eta models in the supercomputer system available at INPE/CPTEC, BP.TT; 17/21392-5 - Adaptation based on ecosystems through PES-Water using compensatory techniques to increase water security in urban watersheds, BP.IC; 17/24444-6 - Potential impacts of land use and land cover changes in the current and future water security of the Piracicaba-Capivari-Jundiaí basin, BP.TT; 17/25439-6 - Compilation of atmospheric properties of the Amazon, aiming to analyze their impact on the ecosystem, BP.TT; 17/19403-9 - Fertility and Inequality: Evidence from Brazil, BP.DR; 17/06627-6 - Impact of global climate change on the main Brazilian biomes, BP.PD - associated scholarships

Abstract

The INCT Climate Change aims to implement and develop a comprehensive network of interdisciplinary research on global change and sustainability, and is based on the cooperation between about 30 research groups from all regions of Brazil and 10 international research groups, involving in its entirety over approximately 300 researchers, students and technicians and establishing itself as one of the larges networks of environmental research developed in Brazil. The program consists of six thematic lines (or subcomponents): 1. food security; 2. water security; 3. energy security; 4. health; 5. natural disasters, impacts on physical infrastructure in urban areas and urban development; 6. impacts on Brazilian ecosystems in view of changes in land use and biodiversity. All these components are connected via 3 integrative themes or cross cutting themes: 1. economy and impacts in key sectors; 2. modeling the earth system and production of future climate scenarios to study Vulnerability-Impacts-Adaptation-Resilience for Sustainability VlARs; 3. communication, dissemination of knowledge and education for sustainability. This will allow the impacts of global change can be evaluated from the economic point of view, using projections of future climate to assess their potential impacts. Ali the results of this research will be presented and communicated to society and governments a clear and precise manner allowing a greater understanding by decision makers to propose public policies to address the current and future challenges of global change. The most accepted definition for the terms sustainability and sustainable development is the following: a development to meet the needs of society today without compromising the ability of future generations. To be achieved, sustainable development depends on planning and recognition that natural resources are finite. This concept represents a new form of economic development that takes into account environment. The INCT MC program provides an overview of issues related to sustainability and environmentally responsible business in order to facilitate the participation or even the implementation of activities in different areas of the company management and their relationships with "stakeholders". The development of the INCT MC scientific agenda will provide optimum conditions for the country to develop scientific excellence in various areas of global environmental change and its implications for sustainable development, especially when you consider that the economy of developing nations is strongly associated with renewable natural resources, as is strikingly the case in Brazil. The emphasis on the impacts of global climate change on agriculture, health, renewable energy, urban development, and natural disasters such as central themes integrated with environmental modeling, the economics and the communication of these impacts to the public, scientific community and academic sector, industry business and government can contribute to maintain excellence in activities in Science, Technology & Innovation as the axis of sustainable environmental development, with an integrative and innovative character. We use the state of the art on climate modeling using regional and global models to generate climate change scenarios, as well as the development of impacts models to assess consequence of climate change of various key sectors in Brazil. We also use climatic, land use and socioeconomic information, including economy and health, as well as experiments in the field and laboratory, all directed to assess impacts of climate in natural and human systems, and directed to the understanding of possible implications for climate change and mitigation options. This proposal includes knowledge transfer using instruments that go beyond only scientific articles, but producing audiovisual, web tools, and other outlets that allow a scientific education of the population, improving the impact of Brazilian science and also a greater international integration of Brazil in environmental negotiations. The design of the INCT MC is characterized by goals and targets to be achieved in the short, medium and long term, and their achievement is accomplished through well articulated, concatenated and synergistic activities. The six main sub components are integrated by three integrative themes, economic evaluations and environmental risk, the use of state of the art in scenarios of future climate projections developed by INPE. We also consider communication of global environmental issues for society and government needed to define scientific and public policies for large national and international environmental debates subsidies. Participating Brazilian institutions and centers have courses or graduate and undergraduate level, as well as technological training, or are operational centers that apply the state of the art knowledge on climate change and extremes for assessments, monitoring and predictions of natural disasters and their impacts. Some of the participating institutions have the scientific and logistical skills needed to create functional networks to effectively research, where operational and research activities can be favored by the visits of researchers from international groups that are already working on issues relevant to VIARs. For the INCT MC we plan to integrate national institutions with international regional and global programs of excellence in research and training matters relevant to vulnerability, impacts, adaptation, resilience and sustainability. (AU)

Scientific publications

(148)

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

MARENGO, JOSE A.; ALVES, LINCOLN M.; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; YOUNG, ANDREA; BARRETO, NAURINETE J. C.; RAMOS, ANDREA M.. Trends in extreme rainfall and hydrogeometeorological disasters in the Metropolitan Area of Sao Paulo: a review. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, v. 1472, n. 1, SI, FEB 2020. (14/50848-9, 15/03804-9, 15/50122-0)

SOUZA, BRUNO; HADDAD, EDUARDO. limate change in Brazil: dealing with uncertainty in agricultural productivity models and the implications for economy-wide impact. SPATIAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, v. 17, n. 1, JUN 2021. (14/50848-9)

DE OLIVEIRA SOUSA, BRUNO JOSE; PIMENTEL FIALHO, HAILTON CESAR; TAFFARELLO, DENISE; ARGUELLO SOUZA, FELIPE AUGUSTO; HASSANZADEH, ELMIRA; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO; SANCHES DE OLIVEIRA, PAULO TARSO. Citizens' viewpoints on stormwater Beneficial Management Practices (BMPs) in Brazil. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, v. 328, p. 12-pg., 2021-12-15. (14/50848-9)

DE MACEDO, MARINA BATALINI; FERREIRA DO LAGO, CESAR AMBROGI; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO. Stormwater volume reduction and water quality improvement by bioretention: Potentials and challenges for water security in a subtropical catchment. Science of The Total Environment, v. 647, p. 923-931, JAN 10 2019. (14/50848-9, 15/20979-7)

ARTAXO, PAULO; HANSSON, HANS-CHRISTEN; ANDREAE, MEINRAT O.; BACK, JAANA; ALVES, ELIANE GOMES; BARBOSA, HENRIQUE M. J.; BENDER, FRIDA; BOURTSOUKIDIS, EFSTRATIOS; CARBONE, SAMARA; CHI, JINSHU; et al. Tropical and Boreal Forest Atmosphere Interactions: A Review. TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY, v. 74, n. 1, p. 140-pg., 2022-03-25. (14/50848-9, 17/17047-0)

MORGAN, WILLIAM T.; DARBYSHIRE, EOGHAN; SPRACKLEN, DOMINICK V.; ARTAXO, PAULO; COE, HUGH. Non-deforestation drivers of fires are increasingly important sources of aerosol and carbon dioxide emissions across Amazonia. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v. 9, NOV 18 2019. (14/50848-9)

DRUEKE, MARKUS; FORKEL, MATTHIAS; VON BLOH, WERNER; SAKSCHEWSKI, BORIS; CARDOSO, MANOEL; BUSTAMANTE, MERCEDES; KURTHS, JUERGEN; THONICKE, KIRSTEN. Improving the LPJmL4-SPITFIRE vegetation-fire model for South America using satellite data. Geoscientific Model Development, v. 12, n. 12, p. 5029-5054, DEC 3 2019. (14/50848-9, 15/50122-0)

GUZMAN, DIEGO A.; MOHOR, GUILHERME S.; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO M.. Multi-Year Index-Based Insurance for Adapting Water Utility Companies to Hydrological Drought: Case Study of a Water Supply System of the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Region, Brazil. WATER, v. 12, n. 11, NOV 2020. (14/50848-9, 14/15080-2)

LAPOLA, DAVID M.; PINHO, PATRICIA; QUESADA, CARLOS A.; STRASSBURG, BERNARDO B. N.; RAMMIG, ANJA; KRUIJT, BART; BROWN, FOSTER; OMETTO, JEAN P. H. B.; PREMEBIDA, ADRIANO; MARENGO, JOSE A.; et al. Limiting the high impacts of Amazon forest dieback with no-regrets science and policy action. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, v. 115, n. 46, p. 11671-11679, NOV 13 2018. (14/50848-9, 15/02537-7, 14/50627-2)

FELTRAN-BARBIERI, RAFAEL; FERES, JOSE GUSTAVO. Degraded pastures in Brazil: improving livestock production and forest restoration. ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE, v. 8, n. 7, JUL 7 2021. (14/50848-9)

DE MACEDO, MARINA BATALINI; PEREIRA DE OLIVEIRA, THALITA RAQUEL; OLIVEIRA, TASSIANA HALMENSCHLAGER; GOMES JUNIOR, MARCUS NOBREGA; TEXEIRA BRASIL, JOSE ARTUR; FERREIRA DO LAGO, CESAR AMBROGI; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO. Evaluating low impact development practices potentials for increasing flood resilience and stormwater reuse through lab-controlled bioretention systems. WATER SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, v. 84, n. 5, JUL 2021. (14/50848-9, 17/15614-5)

MARENGO, JOSE A.; JIMENEZ, JUAN C.; ESPINOZA, JHAN-CARLO; CUNHA, ANA PAULA; ARAGAO, LUIZ E. O.. ncreased climate pressure on the agricultural frontier in the Eastern Amazonia-Cerrado transition zon. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v. 12, n. 1, JAN 10 2022. (14/50848-9, 17/09659-6)

CHIQUITO GESUALDO, GABRIELA; SONE, JULLIAN SOUZA; GALVAO, CARLOS DE OLIVEIRA; MARTINS, EDUARDO SAVIO; MONTENEGRO, SUZANA MARIA GICO LIMA; TOMASELLA, JAVIER; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO. Unveiling water security in Brazil: current challenges and future perspectives. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, v. 66, n. 5, p. 759-768, APR 4 2021. (14/50848-9)

HADDAD, EDUARDO A.; PEROBELLI, FERNANDO S.; ARAUJO, INACIO F.; BUGARIN, KARINA S. S.. Structural propagation of pandemic shocks: an input-output analysis of the economic costs of COVID-19. SPATIAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, v. 16, n. 3, p. 252-270, JUL 3 2021. (19/00057-9, 14/50848-9)

MARENGO, JOSE A.; CUNHA, ANA PAULA M. A.; NOBRE, CARLOS A.; RIBEIRO NETO, GERMANO G.; MAGALHAES, ANTONIO R.; TORRES, ROGER R.; SAMPAIO, GILVAN; ALEXANDRE, FELIPE; ALVES, LINCOLN M.; CUARTAS, LUZ A.; et al. Assessing drought in the drylands of northeast Brazil under regional warming exceeding 4 degrees C. NATURAL HAZARDS, v. 103, n. 2, p. 2589-2611, SEP 2020. (08/57719-9, 14/50848-9, 15/50122-0)

GOMES, HELBER B.; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; PONTES DA SILVA, BRUCE F.; HODGES, KEVIN; SILVA DIAS, PEDRO L.; HERDIES, DIRCEU L.; SILVA, MARIA CRISTINA L.; GOMES, HELIOFABIO B.. Climatology of easterly wave disturbances over the tropical South Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, v. 53, n. 3-4, p. 1393-1411, AUG 2019. (14/50848-9, 08/58101-9)

RUV LEMES, MURILO; SAMPAIO, GILVAN; FISCH, GILBERTO; ALVES, LINCOLN MUNIZ; MAKSIC, JELENA; GUATURA, MARCELO; SHIMIZU, MARILIA. Impacts of atmospheric CO2 increase and Amazon deforestation on the regional climate: A water budget modelling study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. N/A, p. 17-pg., 2022-12-07. (14/50848-9, 15/50122-0)

FAVA, MARIA CLARA; MAZZOLENI, MAURIZIO; ABE, NARUMI; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO; SOLOMATINE, DIMITRI P.. Improving flood forecasting using an input correction method in urban models in poorly gauged areas. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, v. 65, n. 7, MAR 2020. (14/50848-9)

PAES FERREIRA, MARCELO DIAS; FERES, JOSE GUSTAVO. Farm size and Land use efficiency in the Brazilian Amazon. LAND USE POLICY, v. 99, DEC 2020. (14/50848-9)

VIVIESCAS, CINDY; LIMA, LUCAS; DIUANA, FABIO A.; VASQUEZ, EVELINE; LUDOVIQUE, CAMILA; SILVA, GABRIELA N.; HUBACK, VANESSA; MAGALAR, LETICIA; SZKLO, ALEXANDRE; LUCENA, ANDRE F. P.; et al. Contribution of Variable Renewable Energy to increase energy security in Latin America: Complementarity and climate change impacts on wind and solar resources. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, v. 113, OCT 2019. (14/50848-9)

NOBRE, PAULO; PEREIRA, ENIO BUENO; LACERDA, FRANCINETE FRANCIS; BURSZTYN, MARCEL; HADDAD, EDUARDO AMARAL; LEY, DEBORA. Solar smart grid as a path to economic inclusion and adaptation to climate change in the Brazilian Semiarid Northeast. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT, v. 11, n. 4, p. 499-517, 2019. (09/50528-6, 14/50848-9)

DE MACEDO, MARINA BATALINI; FERREIRA DO LAGO, CESAR AMBROGI; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO; GIACOMONI, MARCIO H.. Bioretention performance under different rainfall regimes in subtropical conditions: A case study in Sao Carlos, Brazil. Journal of Environmental Management, v. 248, OCT 15 2019. (15/20979-7, 14/50848-9, 17/15614-5)

TEIXEIRA BRASIL, JOSE ARTUR; DE MACEDO, MARINA BATALINI; PEREIRA DE OLIVEIRA, THALITA RAQUEL; GHIGLIENO, FILIPPO GIOVANNI; BORGES DE SOUZA, VLADIMIR CARAMORI; SILVA, GABRIEL MARINHO E.; GOMES JUNIOR, MARCUS NOBREGA; ARGUELLO DE SOUZA, FELIPE AUGUSTO; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO. Can we scale Digital Twins of Nature-based Solutions for stormwater and transboundary water security projects?. JOURNAL OF HYDROINFORMATICS, v. N/A, p. 16-pg., 2022-04-27. (19/07665-4, 14/50848-9)

LEON, J. A.; ORDAZ, M.; HADDAD, E.; ARAUJO, I. F.. Risk caused by the propagation of earthquake losses through the economy. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, v. 13, n. 1, p. 11-pg., 2022-05-25. (19/00057-9, 18/08337-8, 14/50848-9)

SILVA, CARLOS BATISTA; SILVA, MARIA ELISA SIQUEIRA; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; PATUCCI, NATALIA NUNES; LIMA, BRUNA SIMOES; CORREA, WESLEY CAMPOS. Spatial distribution of spectral SST oscillations over the equatorial pacific in the period 1888-2014. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 41, n. 7, p. 3841-3864, JUN 15 2021. (16/06654-0, 14/50848-9, 17/09308-9, 17/09659-6)

JIMENEZ, JUAN C.; MARENGO, JOSE A.; ALVES, LINCOLN M.; SULCA, JUAN C.; TAKAHASHI, KEN; FERRETT, SAMANTHA; COLLINS, MATTHEW. The role of ENSO flavours and TNA on recent droughts over Amazon forests and the Northeast Brazil region. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 41, n. 7, p. 3761-3780, JUN 15 2021. (14/50848-9)

ALVES DE OLIVEIRA, BEATRIZ FATIMA; BOTTINO, MARCUS J.; NOBRE, PAULO; NOBRE, CARLOS A.. Deforestation and climate change are projected to increase heat stress risk in the Brazilian Amazon. COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT, v. 2, n. 1, OCT 1 2021. (14/50848-9)

MARENGO, JOSE A. A.; SELUCHI, MARCELO E. E.; CUNHA, ANA PAULA; CUARTAS, LUZ ADRIANA; GONCALVES, DEMERVAL; SPERLING, VINICIUS B. B.; RAMOS, ANDREA M. M.; DOLIF, GIOVANNI; SAITO, SILVIA; BENDER, FABIANI; et al. Heavy rainfall associated with floods in southeastern Brazil in November-December 2021. NATURAL HAZARDS, v. N/A, p. 28-pg., 2023-01-20. (14/50848-9)

ALCANTARA, ENNER; MARENGO, JOSE A.; MANTOVANI, JOSE; LONDE, LUCIANA R.; SAN, RACHEL LAU YU; PARK, EDWARD; LIN, YUNUNG NINA; WANG, JINGYU; MENDES, TATIANA; CUNHA, ANA PAULA; et al. Deadly disasters in southeastern South America: flash floods andlandslides of February 2022 in Petropolis, Rio de Janeiro. NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, v. 23, n. 3, p. 19-pg., 2023-03-21. (14/50848-9)

NOBRE, PAULO; VEIGA, SANDRO F.; GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; MARQUEZ, ANDRE L.; DA SILVA, MANOEL B. JR JR; CAPISTRANO, VINICIUS B.; MALAGUTTI, MARTA; FERNANDEZ, JULIO P. R.; SOARES, HELENA C.; BOTTINO, MARCUS J.; et al. AMOC decline and recovery in a warmer climate. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v. 13, n. 1, p. 12-pg., 2023-09-23. (18/06204-0, 14/50848-9, 09/50528-6)

PEREIRA, ENIO BUENO; MARTINS, FERNANDO RAMOS; GONCALVES, ANDRE RODRIGUES; COSTA, RODRIGO SANTOS; HABERLE, A. Brazilian Photovoltaic Potential. PROCEEDINGS OF THE ISES EUROSUN 2018 CONFERENCE - 12TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOLAR ENERGY FOR BUILDINGS AND INDUSTRY, v. N/A, p. 9-pg., 2018-01-01. (14/50848-9)

TIPPETT, ANNA; GONCALVES, ANDRE RODRIGUES; PEREIRA, ENIO BUENO; MARTINS, FERNANDO RAMOS; FISCH, GILBERTO; COSTA, RODRIGO SANTOS. Data Source Sensitivity in Solar Radiation Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) for Five Different Regions of Brazil. TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, v. 76, n. 1, p. 13-pg., 2024-04-09. (14/50848-9)

DUNN, ROBERT J. H.; HEROLD, NICHOLAS; ALEXANDER, LISA V.; DONAT, MARKUS G.; ALLAN, ROB; BADOR, MARGOT; BRUNET, MANOLA; CHENG, VINCENT; IBADULLAH, WAN MAISARAH WAN; IBRAHIM, MUHAMMAD KHAIRUL IZZAT BIN; et al. Observed Global Changes in Sector-Relevant Climate Extremes Indices-An Extension to HadEX3. EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE, v. 11, n. 4, p. 22-pg., 2024-04-01. (14/50848-9)

IVO, ANDRE A. S.; RIBEIRO, SHEILA GRANATO; MATTIELLO-FRANCISCO, FATIMA; BONDAVALLI, ANDREA. Toward Conceptual Analysis of Cyber-Physical Systems Projects Focusing on the Composition of Legacy Systems. IEEE ACCESS, v. 11, p. 23-pg., 2023-01-01. (14/50848-9)

GOZZO, LUIZ FELIPPE; DRUMOND, ANITA; PAMPUCH, LUANA ALBERTANI; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; CRESPO, NATALIA MACHADO; REBOITA, MICHELLE SIMOES; BIER, ANDERSON AUGUSTO; CARPENEDO, CAMILA BERTOLETTI; BUENO, PAOLA GIMENES; PINHEIRO, HENRI ROSSI; et al. Intraseasonal Drivers of the 2018 Drought Over Sao Paulo, Brazil. FRONTIERS IN CLIMATE, v. 4, p. 19-pg., 2022-05-23. (17/09659-6, 14/50848-9)

MARENGO, J.; ESPINOZA, J. C.; BETTOLLI, L.; CUNHA, A. P.; MOLINA-CARPIO, J.; SKANSI, M.; CORREA, K.; RAMOS, A. M.; SALINAS, R.; SIERRA, J. -P.. A cold wave of winter 2021 in central South America: characteristics and impacts. Climate Dynamics, v. 61, n. 5-6, p. 23-pg., 2023-02-16. (14/50848-9)

MAIA, ALEXANDRE GORI; EUSEBIO, GABRIELA DOS SANTOS; FASIABEN, MARIA DO CARMO RAMOS; MORAES, ANDRE STEFFENS; ASSAD, EDUARDO DELGADO; PUGLIERO, VANESSA SILVA. The economic impacts of the diffusion of agroforestry in Brazil. LAND USE POLICY, v. 108, SEP 2021. (14/50848-9)

HADDAD, EDUARDO AMARAL; DE ARAUJO, INACIO FERNANDES; DE ALMEIDA VALE, VINICIUS; SANDOVAL, HENRY DUQUE; ROMAN, PAOLA ANDREA GARIZADO; RODRIGUEZ, LILIAN ANDREA CARRILLO; JARAMILLO, ELIZABETH APONTE; LOPEZ, LEIDY JULIETH GRUESSO. Dimensions of local development in the Colombian Pacific Region. REGIONAL SCIENCE POLICY AND PRACTICE, v. 13, n. 4, SI, p. 1348+, AUG 2021. (18/08337-8, 19/00057-9, 14/50848-9)

YOUNG, ANDREA FERRAZ; MARENGO, JOSE ANTONIO; MARTINS COELHO, JULIANO OLIVEIRA; SCOFIELD, GRAZIELA BALDA; DE OLIVEIRA SILVA, CAMILA CRISTINA; PRIETO, CARLA CORREA. The role of nature-based solutions in disaster risk reduction: The decision maker's perspectives on urban resilience in Sao Paulo state. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION, v. 39, OCT 2019. (17/24467-6, 14/50848-9, 15/24099-1, 15/50122-0)

PAULO NOBRE; ANGELO T. LEMOS; EMANUEL GIAROLLA; ROSIO CAMAYO; LAERCIO NAMIKAWA; MILTON KAMPEL; NATÁLIA RUDORFF; DIEGO X. BEZERRA; JOÃO LORENZZETTI; JORGE GOMES; et al. The 2019 northeast Brazil oil spill: scenarios. Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências, v. 94, 2022-09-02. (14/50848-9)

ANDERSON AUGUSTO BIER; SIMONE EROTILDES TELEGINSKI FERRAZ; TERCIO AMBRIZZI. Summer dry events on synoptic and intraseasonal timescales in the Southeast Region of Brazil. ATMOSFERA, v. 36, n. 1, p. 57-76, 2022-11-07. (14/50848-9, 17/09659-6, 18/06806-0)

HUGO A. BRAGA; TERCIO AMBRIZZI. A Variabilidade Intrassazonal e Interanual do Acoplamento entre a Zona de Convergência do Atlântico Sul e o Vórtice Ciclônico de Altos Níveis. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, 2022-09-26. (14/50848-9, 17/09659-6)

HADDAD, EDUARDO A.; ARAUJO, INACIO F.; CHAWKI, CHAIMAA; EL-MANSOUM, RACHIDA; MASNAOUI, MAROUANE. Analysis of economic and environmental impacts of shutting down the Moroccan Refinery Samir: An interregional input-output approach. SCIENTIFIC AFRICAN, v. 20, p. 16-pg., 2023-05-09. (21/12397-9, 14/50848-9)

MARENGO, JOSE A.; CARDONA, OMAR-DARIO; MARTINEZ, RODNEY. Editorial: Climatic hazards and disaster risk reduction in South-Central America and the Caribbean. FRONTIERS IN CLIMATE, v. 4, p. 2-pg., 2022-12-13. (14/50848-9)

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MENDES, RODOLFO M.; DE ANDRADE, MARCIO ROBERTO M.; TOMASELLA, JAVIER; DE MORAES, MARCIO AUGUSTO E.; SCOFIELD, GRAZIELA B.. Understanding shallow landslides in Campos do Jordao municipality - Brazil: disentangling the anthropic effects from natural causes in the disaster of 2000. NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, v. 18, n. 1, p. 15-30, JAN 3 2018. (14/50848-9, 15/50122-0)

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MARENGO, JOSE A.; ALVES, LINCOLN M.; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; YOUNG, ANDREA; BARRETO, NAURINETE J. C.; RAMOS, ANDREA M.. Trends in extreme rainfall and hydrogeometeorological disasters in the Metropolitan Area of Sao Paulo: a review. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, v. 1472, n. 1, p. 16-pg., 2020-02-13. (15/50122-0, 15/03804-9, 14/50848-9)

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MARENGO, JOSE A.; SOUZA, JR., CARLOS A.; THONICKE, KIRSTEN; BURTON, CHANTELLE; HALLADAY, KATE; BETTS, RICHARD A.; ALVES, LINCOLN M.; SOARES, WAGNER R.. Changes in Climate and Land Use Over the Amazon Region: Current and Future Variability and Trends. Frontiers in Earth Science, v. 6, DEC 21 2018. (14/50848-9, 15/50122-0)

DE MACEDO, MARINA BATALINI; FERREIRA DO LAGO, CESAR AMBROGI; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO; BORGES DE SOUZA, VLADIMIR CARAMORI. Performance of bioretention experimental devices: contrasting laboratory and field scales through controlled experiments. RBRH-REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE RECURSOS HIDRICOS, v. 23, 2017. (14/50848-9, 15/20979-7)

ZHANG, RONG; CUARTAS, LUZ ADRIANA; DE CASTRO CARVALHO, LUIZ VALERIO; DEUSDARA LEAL, KARINNE REIS; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO; ABE, NARUMI; BIRKINSHAW, STEPHEN; MOHOR, GUILHERME SAMPROGNA; SELUCHI, MARCELO ENRIQUE; NOBRE, CARLOS AFONSO. Season-based rainfall-runoff modelling using the probability-distributed model (PDM) for large basins in southeastern Brazil. Hydrological Processes, v. 32, n. 14, p. 2217-2230, JUL 1 2018. (14/50848-9)

ZIMBRES, BARBARA; RODRIGUEZ-VEIGA, PEDRO; SHIMBO, JULIA Z.; BISPO, POLYANNA DA CONCEICAO; BALZTER, HEIKO; BUSTAMANTE, MERCEDES; ROITMAN, IRIS; HAIDAR, RICARDO; MIRANDA, SABRINA; GOMES, LETICIA; et al. Mapping the stock and spatial distribution of aboveground woody biomass in the native vegetation of the Brazilian Cerrado biome. FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, v. 499, NOV 1 2021. (14/50848-9)

MARENGO, JOSE A.; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; BARRETO, NAURINETE; CUNHA, ANA PAULA; RAMOS, ANDREA M.; SKANSI, MILAGROS; CARPIO, JORGE MOLINA; SALINAS, ROBERTO. The heat wave of October 2020 in central South America. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, SEP 2021. (14/50848-9)

BUARQUE, ANA CAROLINA SARMENTO; BHATTACHARYA-MIS, NAMRATA; FAVA, MARIA CLARA; DE SOUZA, FELIPE AUGUSTO ARGUELLO; MENDIONDO, EDUARDO MARIO. Using historical source data to understand urban flood risk: a socio-hydrological modelling application at Gregorio Creek, Brazil. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, v. 65, n. 7, APR 2020. (18/03473-0, 14/50848-9)

PIVELLO, VANIA R.; VIEIRA, IMA; CHRISTIANINI, V, ALEXANDER; RIBEIRO, DANILO BANDINI; MENEZES, LUCIANA DA SILVA; BERLINCK, CHRISTIAN NIEL; MELO, FELIPE P. L.; MARENGO, JOSE ANTONIO; TORNQUIST, CARLOS GUSTAVO; TOMAS, WALFRIDO MORAES; et al. nderstanding Brazil's catastrophic fires: Causes, consequences and policy needed to prevent future tragedie. PERSPECTIVES IN ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION, v. 19, n. 3, p. 233-255, JUL-SEP 2021. (14/50848-9)

CAPISTRANO, VINICIUS BUSCIOLI; NOBRE, PAULO; VEIGA, SANDRO F.; TEDESCHI, RENATA; SILVA, JOSIANE; BOTTINO, MARCUS; DA SILVA JR, MANOEL BAPTISTA; MENEZES NETO, OTACILIO LEANDRO; FIGUEROA, SILVIO NILO; BONATTI, JOSE PAULO; et al. Assessing the performance of climate change simulation results from BESM-OA2.5 compared with a CMIP5 model ensemble. Geoscientific Model Development, v. 13, n. 5, p. 2277-2296, MAY 14 2020. (14/50848-9, 09/50528-6, 18/06204-0)

MARCHEZINI, VICTOR; LONDE, LUCIANA DE RESENDE; LOOSE, ELOISA BELING; SAITO, SILVIA MIDORI; MARENGO, JOSE A.. Perceptions About Climate Change in the Brazilian Civil Defense Sector. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE, v. 13, n. 5, p. 11-pg., 2022-09-27. (14/50848-9, 18/06093-4)

PINHEIRO, HENRI; AMBRIZZI, TERCIO; HODGES, KEVIN; GAN, MANOEL; ANDRADE, KELEN; GARCIA, JOSE. Are Cut-off Lows simulated better in CMIP6 compared to CMIP5?. Climate Dynamics, v. N/A, p. 20-pg., 2022-03-17. (14/50848-9, 19/04310-0, 17/09659-6)

ROSI, ASCANIO; CANAVESI, VANESSA; SEGONI, SAMUELE; NERY, TULIUS DIAS; CATANI, FILIPPO; CASAGLI, NICOLA. Landslides in the Mountain Region of Rio de Janeiro: A Proposal for the Semi-Automated Definition of Multiple Rainfall Thresholds. GEOSCIENCES, v. 9, n. 5, MAY 2019. (14/50848-9)

MARTINS, MINELLA ALVES; TOMASELLA, JAVIER; DIAS, CASSIA GABRIELE. Maize yield under a changing climate in the Brazilian Northeast: Impacts and adaptation. Agricultural Water Management, v. 216, p. 339-350, MAY 1 2019. (14/50848-9)

MENEZES, JULIA ALVES; MADUREIRA, ANA PAULA; DOS SANTOS, RHAVENA BARBOSA; DUVAL, ISABELA DE BRITO; REGOTO, PEDRO; MARGONARI, CARINA; DE LIMA BARATA, MARTHA MACEDO; CONFALONIERI, ULISSES. Analyzing Spatial Patterns of Health Vulnerability to Drought in the Brazilian Semiarid Region. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH, v. 18, n. 12, JUN 2021. (14/50848-9)

CAMILA BERTOLETTI CARPENEDO; TÉRCIO AMBRIZZI. Anticiclone Subtropical do Atlântico Sul Associado ao Modo Anular Sul e Impactos Climáticos no Brasil. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v. 35, n. 4, p. 605-613, 2020-11-27. (14/50848-9, 15/03804-9, 15/50122-0)

GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; VEIGA, SANDRO F.; NOBRE, PAULO; SILVA, JR., MANOEL B.; CAPISTRANO, VINICIUS B.; CALLEGARE, ANDYARA O.. Sea surface height trends in the southern hemisphere oceans simulated by the Brazilian Earth System Model under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE, v. 70, n. 1, OCT 2020. (14/50848-9, 09/50528-6, 18/06204-0)

CAMILA B. CARPENEDO; TÉRCIO AMBRIZZI. Atmospheric blockings in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models with different representations of Antarctic sea ice extent. Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências, v. 94, 2022-05-30. (12/17370-2, 17/09659-6, 14/50848-9)

WESLEM RODRIGUES FARIA; EDUARDO AMARAL HADDAD. Modelagem do uso da Terra e Efeitos de Mudanças na Produtividade Agrícola entre 2008 e 2015. Estud. Econ., v. 49, n. 1, p. 65-103, 2019-03-00. (14/50848-9)

VEIGA, SANDRO F.; GIAROLLA, EMANUEL; NOBRE, PAULO; NOBRE, CARLOS A.. Analyzing the Influence of the North Atlantic Ocean Variability on the Atlantic Meridional Mode on Decadal Time Scales. ATMOSPHERE, v. 11, n. 1, JAN 2020. (14/50848-9)

MARENGO, JOSE A.; CUNHA, ANA P.; CUARTAS, LUZ ADRIANA; DEUSDARA LEAL, KARINNE R.; BROEDEL, ELISANGELA; SELUCHI, MARCELO E.; MICHELIN, CAMILA MIRANDA; DE PRAGA BAIAO, CHEILA FLAVIA; ANGULO, ELEAZAR CHUCHON; ALMEIDA, ELTON K.; et al. Extreme Drought in the Brazilian Pantanal in 2019-2020: Characterization, Causes, and Impacts. FRONTIERS IN WATER, v. 3, FEB 23 2021. (14/50848-9, 15/03804-9, 15/50122-0)

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