Advanced search
Start date
Betweenand
Related content
(Reference retrieved automatically from Web of Science through information on FAPESP grant and its corresponding number as mentioned in the publication by the authors.)

Recent and future environmental suitability to dengue fever in Brazil using species distribution model

Full text
Author(s):
Cardoso-Leite, Ricardo [1] ; Vilarinho, Ana Carolina [2] ; Novaes, Marcos Carneiro [1] ; Tonetto, Aurelio Fajar [3] ; Vilardi, Gabriel Cestari [4] ; Guillermo-Ferreira, Rhainer [3, 1]
Total Authors: 6
Affiliation:
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Fac Filosofia Ciencias & Letras Ribeirao Preto, Dept Biol, Ribeirao Preto, SP - Brazil
[2] Fac Med Marilia, Sao Paulo - Brazil
[3] Univ Estadual Paulista, Sao Paulo - Brazil
[4] Fundacao Univ Fed Rondonia, Rondonia - Brazil
Total Affiliations: 4
Document type: Journal article
Source: Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene; v. 108, n. 2, p. 99-104, FEB 2014.
Web of Science Citations: 12
Abstract

Background: Dengue fever is a mosquito-borne disease that affects more than 2.5 billion people worldwide. Here, we used the dataset of municipality infestation level from the Brazilian Health Ministry with the aim of building vector distribution models to identify epidemiological hotspots. Methods: Maxent software was used to predict the environmental suitability of the vector under current and 2050 climatic conditions. We built potential risk maps for current and future epidemiological scenarios in order to provide data for vector control planning. Results: The results showed that the current epidemiological status is critical in the coastal region, with 80% of the population in risk areas and 30% in epidemiological outbreak areas. Our results also suggest that the area covered by the vector distribution in Brazil will decrease in future projections in the north, but will spread to the south. Conclusions: The results may provide useful information for health agencies and policymakers in focusing efforts in epidemiological hotspots. Therefore, understanding the niche distribution dynamics of Aedes aegypti is an important step towards public health planning for vector control. (AU)

FAPESP's process: 13/00406-7 - Evolution of the interaction between morphological and behavioral characters in Odonata of the neotropical region
Grantee:Rhainer Guillermo Nascimento Ferreira
Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Post-Doctoral