Transition to sustainability and agriculture-energy-water nexus: exploring an integrated approach with case studies in the Cerrado and Caatinga

• Grant number: 17/22269-2
• Support Opportunities: Research Program on Global Climate Change - Thematic Grants
• Duration: August 01, 2018 - July 31, 2024
• Field of knowledge: Interdisciplinary Subjects
• Principal Investigator: Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud Ometto
• Grantee: Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud Ometto
• Host Institution: Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE). Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação (Brasil). São José dos Campos , SP, Brazil
• Pesquisadores principais:( Últimos ): Celso von Randow ; Pedro Ribeiro de Andrade Neto ; Peter Mann de Toledo
• Pesquisadores principais:( Antigos ): Laura de Simone Borma
• Associated researchers: Aldrin Martin Perez Marin ; Alexandre Rodolfo Marques ; Ali Ben Abbes ; Ana Paula Dutra de Aguiar ; Ana Paula Soares Veiga ; Andre Rodrigues Goncalves ; Angelica Giarolla ; Bartolomeu Israel de Souza ; Camille Lanzarotti Nolasco ; CARLOS ALBERTO VALERA ; Cassia Maria Gama Lemos ; Chou Sin Chan ; Daniel Andrés Rodriguez ; Daniela Carneiro Rodrigues Porto Pontes ; Dione Judite Ventura da Silva ; Diony Alves Reis ; Enio Bueno Pereira ; Eráclito Rodrigues de Sousa Neto ; Evandro Albiach Branco ; Felipe Siqueira Pacheco ; Fernando Ramos Martins ; Flávio de Carvalho Magina ; Francisco Gilney Silva Bezerra ; Gilvan Sampaio de Oliveira ; Guilherme Reis Pereira ; Guillermo Oswaldo Obregón Párraga ; Gustavo Felipe Balué Arcoverde ; Heithor Alexandre de Araujo Queiroz ; Humberto Alves Barbosa ; Iêdo Bezerra Sá ; Janaína Ferreira Guidolini ; Javier Tomasella ; João Arthur Pompeu Pavanelli ; João Paulo Sena Souza ; Jocilene Dantas Barros ; Jorge Alberto Bustamante Becerra ; José Luís Passos Cordeiro ; Kelly Ribeiro ; Kleber Pinheiro Naccarato ; Leandro de Oliveira Salles ; Lilian Elizabeth Diesel ; Lincoln Muniz Alves ; Luciana de Souza Soler ; luciana spinelli araujo ; Luciana Vanni Gatti ; Luciano Jorge Serejo dos Anjos ; Luciano Marani ; Luiz Flamarion Barbosa de Oliveira ; Luiz Tadeu da Silva ; Manoel Ferreira Cardoso ; Marcela Aparecida Campos Neves Miranda ; Marcos Barbosa Sanches ; Marcos Domingos Siqueira Tavares ; Maria Cristina Forti ; Osmar Pinto Junior ; Paloma Genú da Silva Paiva ; Paulo Augusto Sobral Escada ; Plínio Carlos Alvalá ; Reinaldo Rodrigo Novo ; Rita Marcia da Silva Pinto Vieira ; Roberto Bagattini Portella ; Rodrigo Santos Costa ; Rômulo Simões Cezar Menezes ; Rubens Teixeira de Queiroz ; Sérgio Mantovani Paiva Pulice ; Taís Sonetti González ; Talita Oliveira Assis ; Thieres George Freire da Silva ; Viviane Regina Algarve
• Associated scholarship(s): 23/00099-9 - RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LIGHTNING ACTIVITY AND URBANIZATION, BP.TT; 22/07514-9 - Maintenance and Support on a Webmapping Platform for Publication and Dissemination of Data and Indicators of Environmental Models Exploring an Integrative Approach, BP.TT; 22/05856-0 - Computational modeling of land use at multiple scales, BP.TT; + associated scholarships 22/00887-4 - Wind-solar-hydro complementarity for electrical power supply in sustainable scenarios: wind and solar potential refinement and spatial modeling of the energy matrix, BP.TT; 22/00917-0 - Identification of indicators and typologies of adaptation and social environmental resilience for the construction of visions of the future, BP.PD; 21/08308-0 - Flux measurements from soil in environments with different vegetation coverings in the San Francisco and Parnaiba River Basins, BP.TT; 21/09158-2 - Relationship between lightning activity and urbanization, BP.TT; 21/07547-1 - Wind-solar-hydro complementarity for electrical power supply in sustainable scenarios: wind and solar potential refinement and spatial modeling of the energy matrix, BP.TT; 21/03524-7 - Maintenance and support on a webmapping platform for publication and dissemination of data and indicators of environmental models exploring an integrative approach, BP.TT; 20/14046-6 - Stable isotopes and soil water use efficiency as ecohydrological indicators of plant biomass productivity in Cerrado and Caatinga ecosystems, at different scale, BP.PD; 21/02402-5 - Relationship between lightning activity and urbanization, BP.TT; 20/12213-2 - Development of a computational framework for the composition, validation and analysis of current and future water availability indicators in Sao Francisco and Parnaiba basins, BP.TT; 20/07781-1 - Participatory scenarios in multiple scales, BP.PD; 19/16235-3 - Soil degradation and yield in the sustainability context considering a multiscale approach, BP.PD; 18/24631-3 - Web platform for publishing and disseminating data and indicators from environmental models, BP.TT - associated scholarships

Abstract

The Cerrado and Caatinga biomes have the largest available stock of land for agricultural expansion in Brazil, besides having vast areas of high solar and wind potential. Their natural resources are also vital for climate regulation and for human survival and well-being. The general objective of this proposal is to explore how a participatory approach, integrating qualitative and quantitative methods of the natural and social sciences at multiple scales, could support the transition to a sustainable future in these two biomes, through the definition of scenarios and indicators that reconcile the economic, social and environmental (the three pillars of sustainability) in food production and use of natural resources. To achieve this purpose, the project is divided into phases with specific goals. Phase 1 includes the organization and analysis of data on the social, economic, institutional and environmental dimensions of the study area to build sustainability indexes that reflect the current situation (past and present). Phase 2 focuses on the future of the study area, by constructing qualitative and quantitative scenarios, built in a participatory manner. Elements of stories about the future will be quantified by generating spatially explicit projections of land use change, regional climate and its impacts (translated into a significant set of social-environmental indicators, including water, vegetation, biodiversity, agriculture, energy, lightning, biogeochemical cycles, among others). Finally, Phase 3 involves the synthesis of activities between the scales, and the analysis of social transformation mechanisms to achieve sustainability (trajectories). (AU)

Scientific publications

(26)

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

GABRIEL ITALO NOVAES DA SILVA; ALEXANDRE MANIÇOBA DA ROSA FERRAZ JARDIM; MARCONDES DE SÁ SOUZA; GEORGE DO NASCIMENTO ARAÚJO JÚNIOR; JOSÉ EDSON FLORENTINO DE MORAIS; LUCIANA SANDRA BASTOS DE SOUZA; CARLOS ANDRÉ ALVES DE SOUZA; CLEBER PEREIRA ALVES; GHERMAN GARCIA LEAL DE ARAÚJO; ABELARDO ANTÔNIO DE ASSUNÇÃO MONTENEGRO; et al. Combined agricultural practices in millet and cactus: phyllochron, structural characteristics and relations with yield. Scientia Agricola, v. 80, 2023-04-07. (17/22269-2)

REZENDE, LUIZ F. C.; DE CASTRO, ALINE ANDERSON; VON RANDOW, CELSO; RUSCICA, ROMINA; SAKSCHEWSKI, BORIS; PAPASTEFANOU, PHILLIP; VIOVY, NICOLAS; THONICKE, KIRSTEN; SORENSSON, ANNA; RAMMIG, ANJA; et al. Impacts of Land Use Change and Atmospheric CO2 on Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), Evaporation, and Climate in Southern Amazon. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, v. 127, n. 8, p. 22-pg., 2022-04-27. (17/22269-2, 15/50687-8, 17/03048-5)

SALLES, LEANDRO DE OLIVEIRA; PERINI, FERNANDO ARAUJO; DE MORAES NETO, CARLOS RODRIGUES; SICURO, FERNANDO LENCASTRE; ARROYO-CABRALES, JOAQUIN; GUEDES, PATRICIA GONCALVES; LAUREANO, FERNANDO VERASSANI; CALVO, EMILIO MANUEL; BARBOSA DE OLIVEIRA, LUIZ FLAMARION; PASSOS CORDEIRO, JOSE LUIS; et al. A Puma concolor (Carnivora: Felidae) in the Middle-Late Holocene landscapes of the Brazilian Northeast (Bahia): submerged cave deposits and stable isotopes. GEOBIOS, v. 62, p. 61-78, OCT 2020. (17/22269-2)

ANJOS, LUCIANO J. S.; SOUZA, EVERALDO BARREIROS DE; AMARAL, CALIL TORRES; IGAWA, TASSIO KOITI; TOLEDO, PETER MANN DE. Future projections for terrestrial biomes indicate widespread warming and moisture reduction in forests up to 2100 in South America. GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION, v. 25, JAN 2021. (17/22269-2)

LEMOS, CASSIA M. G.; ANDRADE, PEDRO R.; RODRIGUES, RICARDO R.; HISSA, LETICIA; AGUIAR, ANA P. D.. Combining regional to local restoration goals in the Brazilian Atlantic forest. Regional Environmental Change, v. 21, n. 3, SEP 2021. (17/22269-2)

VIEIRA, RITA MARCIA DA SILVA PINTO; TOMASELLA, JAVIER; CUNHA, ANA PAULA MARTINS DO AMARAL; BARBOSA, ALEXANDRE AUGUSTO; POMPEU, JOAO; FERREIRA, YARA; SANTOS, FABRICIA CRISTINA; ALVES, LINCOLN MUNIZ; OMETTO, JEAN. Socio-Environmental Vulnerability to Drought Conditions and Land Degradation: An Assessment in Two Northeastern Brazilian River Basins. SUSTAINABILITY, v. 15, n. 10, p. 15-pg., 2023-05-15. (17/22269-2)

HOFMANN, G. S.; SILVA, R. C.; WEBER, E. J.; BARBOSA, A. A.; OLIVEIRA, L. F. B.; ALVES, R. J. V.; HASENACK, H.; SCHOSSLER, V.; AQUINO, F. E.; CARDOSO, M. F.. Changes in atmospheric circulation and evapotranspiration are reducing rainfall in the Brazilian Cerrado. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v. 13, n. 1, p. 14-pg., 2023-07-11. (17/22269-2)

DE CASTRO, ALINE ANDERSON; VON RANDOW, CELSO; VON RANDOW, RITA DE CASSIA SILVA; BEZERRA, FRANCISCO GILNEY SILVA. Evaluating carbon and water fluxes and stocks in Brazil under changing climate and refined regional scenarios for changes in land use. FRONTIERS IN CLIMATE, v. 4, p. 15-pg., 2022-09-16. (17/22269-2, 22/01655-0, 20/15230-5)

FERNANDES, RODRIGO; NASCIMENTO, VICTOR; FREITAS, MARCOS; OMETTO, JEAN. Local Climate Zones to Identify Surface Urban Heat Islands: A Systematic Review. REMOTE SENSING, v. 15, n. 4, p. 20-pg., 2023-02-01. (17/22269-2)

SILVA BEZERRA, FRANCISCO GILNEY; VON RANDOW, CELSO; ASSIS, TALITA OLIVEIRA; AGUIAR BEZERRA, KARINE ROCHA; TEJADA, GRACIELA; CASTRO, ALINE ANDERSON; DE PAULA GOMES, DIEGO MELO; AVANCINI, RODRIGO; AGUIAR, ANA PAULA. New land-usechange scenarios for Brazil: Refining global SSPs with a regional spatially-explicit allocation model. PLoS One, v. 17, n. 4, p. 17-pg., 2022-04-20. (17/22269-2)

OMETTO, JEAN PIERRE; GORGENS, ERIC BASTOS; PEREIRA, FRANCISCA ROCHA DE SOUZA; SATO, LUCIANE; DE ASSIS, MAURO LUCIO RODRIGURES; CANTINHO, ROBERTA; LONGO, MARCOS; JACON, ALINE DANIELE; KELLER, MICHAEL. A biomass map of the Brazilian Amazon from multisource remote sensing. SCIENTIFIC DATA, v. 10, n. 1, p. 10-pg., 2023-09-30. (17/22269-2)

LEMOS, CASSIA M. G.; BEYER, HAWTHORNE L.; RUNTING, REBECCA K.; ANDRADE, PEDRO R.; AGUIAR, ANA P. D.. Multicriteria optimization to develop cost-effective pes-schemes to restore multiple environmental benefits in the Brazilian Atlantic forest. ECOSYSTEM SERVICES, v. 60, p. 11-pg., 2023-01-25. (17/22269-2)

HOFMANN, GABRIEL S.; CARDOSO, MANOEL F.; ALVES, RUY J. V.; WEBER, ELISEU J.; BARBOSA, ALEXANDRE A.; DE TOLEDO, PETER M.; PONTUAL, FRANCISCO B.; SALLES, LEANDRO DE O.; HASENACK, HEINRICH; CORDEIRO, JOSE L. P.; et al. The Brazilian Cerrado is becoming hotter and drier. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, JUN 2021. (17/22269-2)

BENITES LAZARO, LIRA LUZ; GIATTI, LEANDRO LUIZ; BERMANN, CELIO; GIAROLLA, ANGELICA; OMETTO, JEAN. Policy and governance dynamics in the water-energy-food-land nexus of biofuels: Proposing a qualitative analysis model. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, v. 149, OCT 2021. (19/24479-0, 17/22269-2, 17/17796-3, 15/03804-9)

HOFMANN, GABRIEL S.; CARDOSO, MANOEL F.; ALVES, RUY J. V.; WEBER, ELISEU J.; BARBOSA, ALEXANDRE A.; DE TOLEDO, PETER M.; PONTUAL, FRANCISCO B.; SALLES, LEANDRO DE O.; HASENACK, HEINRICH; CORDEIRO, JOSE L. P.; et al. The Brazilian Cerrado is becoming hotter and drier. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, v. 27, n. 17, p. 4060-4073, SEP 2021. (17/22269-2)

DA SILVA PINTO VIEIRA, RITA MARCIA; SESTINI, MARCELO FRANCISCO; TOMASELLA, JAVIER; MARCHEZINI, VICTOR; PEREIRA, GUILHERME REIS; BARBOSA, ALEXANDRE AUGUSTO; SANTOS, FABRICIA CRISTINA; RODRIGUEZ, DANIEL ANDRES; DO NASCIMENTO, FLAVIO RODRIGUES; SANTANA, MARCOS OLIVEIRA; et al. Characterizing spatio-temporal patterns of social vulnerability to droughts, degradation and desertification in the Brazilian northeast. ENVIRONMENTAL AND SUSTAINABILITY INDICATORS, v. 5, p. 9-pg., 2020-02-01. (17/22269-2)

JARDIM, ALEXANDRE MANICOBA DA ROSA FERRAZ; DE MORAIS, JOSE EDSON FLORENTINO; DE SOUZA, LUCIANA SANDRA BASTOS; MARIN, FABIO RICARDO; DE MOURA, MAGNA SOELMA BESERRA; MORELLATO, LEONOR PATRICIA CERDEIRA; MONTENEGRO, ABELARDO ANTONIO DE ASSUNCAO; OMETTO, JEAN PIERRE HENRY BALBAUD; DE LIMA, JOAO L. M. P.; DUBEUX JR, JOSE CARLOS BATISTA; et al. Sink or carbon source? how the Opuntia cactus agroecosystem interacts in the use of carbon, nutrients and radiation in the Brazilian semi-arid region. Journal of Hydrology, v. 625, p. 14-pg., 2023-10-01. (17/22269-2, 23/05323-4)

TOMASELLA, JAVIER; MARTINS, MINELLA A.; SHRESTHA, NIRMAN. An open-source tool for improving on-farm yield forecasting systems. FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS, v. 7, p. 11-pg., 2023-07-11. (17/22269-2, 22/00917-0)

SANTOS, FABRICIA CRISTINA; DA SILVA PINTO VIEIRA, RITA MARCIA; BARBOSA, ALEXANDRE AUGUSTO; DA CRUZ FERREIRA, YARA; POLIZEL, SILVIA PALOTTI; SESTINI, MARCELO FRANCISCO; OMETTO, JEAN PIERRE HENRY BALBAUD. Application of remote sensing to analyze the loss of natural vegetation in the Jalapao Mosaic (Brazil) before and after the creation of protected area (1970-2018). ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT, v. 194, n. 3, p. 19-pg., 2022-03-01. (17/22269-2)

SILVA BEZERRA, FRANCISCO GILNEY; DE TOLEDO, PETER MANN; VON RANDOW, CELSO; DUTRA DE AGUIAR, ANA PAULA; PINHEIRO SALES LIMA, PATRICIA VERONICA; SEREJO DOS ANJOS, LUCIANO JORGE; AGUIAR BEZERRA, KARINE ROCHA. Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS, v. 137, p. 14-pg., 2022-03-05. (17/22269-2)

ARCOVERDE, GUSTAVO FELIPE BALUE; MENEZES, JULIA ALVES; PAZ, MARIANA GUTIERRES ARTEIRO; BARROS, JOCILENE DANTAS; GUIDOLINI, JANAINA FERREIRA; BRANCO, EVANDRO ALBIACH; DE ANDRADE, PEDRO RIBEIRO; PULICE, SERGIO MANTOVANI PAIVA; OMETTO, JEAN PIERRE HENRY BALBAUD. Sustainability assessment of Cerrado and Caatinga biomes in Brazil: A proposal for collaborative index construction in the context of the 2030 Agenda and the Water-Energy-Food Nexus. FRONTIERS IN PHYSICS, v. 10, p. 25-pg., 2023-01-09. (17/22269-2)

BROEDEL, ELISANGELA; VON RANDOW, CELSO; CUARTAS, LUZ ADRIANA; SATYAMURTY, PRAKKI; DE ARAUJO, ALESSANDRO CARIOCA; CANDIDO, LUIZ ANTONIO; TOMASELLA, JAVIER; NOBRE, ANTONIO DONATO; TOURIGNY, ETIENNE. A comparison of the spatial heterogeneities of surface fluxes simulated by INLAND model with observations at a valley and a nearby plateau stations in Central Amazon Forest. SN APPLIED SCIENCES, v. 4, n. 6, p. 20-pg., 2022-06-01. (17/22269-2)

FONTANA, ANDRESSA GARCIA; NASCIMENTO, VICTOR FERNANDEZ; OMETTO, JEAN PIERRE; DO AMARAL, FRANCISCO HELTER FERNANDES. Analysis of past and future urban growth on a regional scale using remote sensing and machine learning. FRONTIERS IN REMOTE SENSING, v. 4, p. 14-pg., 2023-09-01. (17/22269-2)

HERRMANN, PAMELA BOELTER; NASCIMENTO, VICTOR FERNANDEZ; FREITAS, MARCOS WELLAUSEN DIAS DE; OMETTO, JEAN PIERRE. Fire in highland grasslands in the Atlantic Forest Biome, a burned areas time series analysis and its correlation with the legislation. FRONTIERS IN REMOTE SENSING, v. 4, p. 9-pg., 2023-05-16. (17/22269-2)

OLIVEIRA, UBIRAJARA; SOARES-FILHO, BRITALDO; RODRIGUES, HERMANN; FIGUEIRA, DANILO; GOMES, LETICIA; LELES, WILLIAM; BERLINCK, CHRISTIAN; MORELLI, FABIANO; BUSTAMANTE, MERCEDES; OMETTO, JEAN; et al. A near real-time web-system for predicting fire spread across the Cerrado biome. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v. 13, n. 1, p. 12-pg., 2023-03-24. (17/22269-2)

POLIZEL, SILVIA PALOTTI; VIEIRA, RITA MARCIA DA SILVA PINTO; POMPEU, JOAO; FERREIRA, YARA DA CRUZ; SOUSA-NETO, ERACLITO RODRIGUES DE; BARBOSA, ALEXANDRE AUGUSTO; BALBAUD, JEAN PIERRE HENRY. Analysing the dynamics of land use in the context of current conservation policies and land tenure in the Cerrado-MATOPIBA region (Brazil). LAND USE POLICY, v. 109, OCT 2021. (17/22269-2)