Computational modeling of the ecological succession in a direct seeding regeneration system through a cellular automata

• Grant number: 17/21312-1
• Support Opportunities: Scholarships in Brazil - Scientific Initiation
• Start date: December 01, 2017
• End date: December 31, 2018
• Field of knowledge: Interdisciplinary Subjects
• Principal Investigator: Andriana Susana Lopes de Oliveira Campanharo
• Grantee: Barbara Aires Pereira
• Host Institution: Instituto de Biociências (IBB). Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP). Campus de Botucatu. Botucatu , SP, Brazil
• Associated scholarship(s): 18/09535-8 - Computational modelling of the ecological succession of a direct seeding regeneration system via cellular automata, BE.EP.IC

Abstract

It is well known in the literature that an ecosystem dynamic can be complex, non-linear and unpredictable. Those characteristics are relevant to habitat management and forest restoration activities. Besides that, because it presents a potential for sudden changes, an ecosystem may be more vulnerable than expected. In order to analyze the dynamics of an ecosystems, computational simulations have become promising tools of interest to severalresearchers. In this sense, the objective of the proposed research project is to develop a mathematical/computational model using the Cellular Automata technique capable to predict a positive successional trajectory of a given restoration experiment through direct sowing. More specifically, this model will provide a numerical approach of the basal area evolution from a set of trees located in the Edgárdia Farm, Botucatu (SP), which belongs to the Ecology and Restoration Laboratory in the Faculty of Agronomic Sciences.The performance of the proposed model will be tested by comparing the obtained numerical solution with real data available. (AU)