Alert zone implementation on pest monitoring in agricultural landscapes

• Grant number: 19/14805-7
• Support type: Scholarships in Brazil - Scientific Initiation
• Effective date (Start): August 01, 2019
• Effective date (End): March 31, 2020
• Field of knowledge: Interdisciplinary Subjects
• Principal researcher: Wesley Augusto Conde Godoy
• Grantee: Gabriel Rodrigues Palma
• Home Institution: Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz (ESALQ). Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Piracicaba , SP, Brazil
• Associated research grant: 14/16609-7 - A multi - and interdisciplinary approach to understand spatio-temporal patterns of insect pests and design landscapes for sustainable pest management in tropical agricultural systems, AP.TEM

Abstract

In time series of insect populations, is common the observation of peaks and drastic decreases in populations, many times becoming recurrent or rare, but characterized by wide spectrum, resulting in outbreaks or dramatic decreases undesirable for different reasons. The objective of this study is to analyses pest outbreaks in time series, by monitoring data from literature and provided by companies, identifying oscillation patterns preceding outbreaks, in order to estimate the probability of outbreak occurrence in response to changes in population sizes, producers of overlapping time trajectories.