Nowcasting of intense thunderstorms and understanding of the physical processes inside clouds: the SOS-CHUVA (Severe Weather Observation System)

• Grant number: 15/14497-0
• Support Opportunities: Research Program on Global Climate Change - Thematic Grants
• Duration: February 01, 2016 - January 31, 2020
• Field of knowledge: Physical Sciences and Mathematics - Geosciences - Meteorology
• Principal Investigator: Luiz Augusto Toledo Machado
• Grantee: Luiz Augusto Toledo Machado
• Host Institution: Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE). Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação (Brasil). São José dos Campos , SP, Brazil
• Pesquisadores principais: Edmilson Dias de Freitas
• Associated researchers: Alan James Peixoto Calheiros ; Ana Maria Heuminski de Avila ; Ariane Frassoni dos Santos de Mattos ; Carlos Frederico de Angelis ; Claudia Regina Castellanos Pfeiffer ; Daniel Alejandro Vila ; Demerval Soares Moreira ; Dirceu Luis Herdies ; Éder Paulo Vendrasco ; Ernani de Lima Nascimento ; Ernesto Kemp ; Fabio Ricardo Marin ; Felipe Gustavo Pilau ; hilton silveira pinto ; Izabelly Carvalho da Costa ; Jeferson Prietsch Machado ; José Paulo Molin ; José Teixeira Filho ; Jurandir Zullo Junior ; Kleber Pinheiro Naccarato ; Luiz Carlos Marcos Vieira Junior ; Luiz Fernando Sapucci ; Maria Assunção Faus da Silva Dias ; Maria de Souza Custodio ; Marielle Gosset ; Marta Pereira Llopart ; Mr Earle R. Williams ; Osmar Pinto Junior ; Osvaldo Machado Rodrigues Cabral ; Priscila Pereira Coltri ; Rachel Ifanger Albrecht ; Renata Ribeiro Do Valle Gonçalves ; Roberta Rocha Borges ; Roberto Luiz Do Carmo ; Ronalton Evandro Machado ; Saulo Ribeiro de Freitas ; Stanley Robson de Medeiros Oliveira ; Thiago Souza Biscaro
• Associated grant(s): 19/07039-6 - The Processes Involved in the Development of Precipitation Within Clouds and internacional collaboration within the SOS-CHUVA project, AV.EXT; 18/08944-1 - 16th International Conference on Atmospheric Electricity (ICAE2018), AR.EXT; 16/50458-1 - Strategies for detecting and monitoring high impact weather events (HIWE), AP.R SPRINT
• Associated scholarship(s): 18/04754-3 - Mobile usability analysis and mobile application refactoring, BP.IC; 17/23362-6 - Development of nowcasting module and radar operation for research, BP.TT; 17/22020-4 - SOS Chuva: Media Science, BP.JC; + associated scholarships 17/06075-3 - The influence of hail on severe storms electrification, BP.MS; 17/00275-0 - Ensemble nowcasting system from radar data for flash floods alerts, BP.PD; 17/04654-6 - Studying macro and microphysical phase spaces in thunderstorm clouds: insights for nowcasting techniques, BP.PD; 16/24562-6 - Combining observations and numerical modeling to improve the description of thunderstorm microphysical processes, BP.DR; 16/17821-5 - Microphysical properties of precipitation in thunderstorms with upward lightning, BP.IC; 16/16932-8 - Hydrometeor classification using dual-polarization radar data to improve numerical prediction and data assimilation, BP.PD - associated scholarships

Abstract

This project aims to take advantage of the opportunity to buy out the dual polarization radar in a very low price based in the already paid leasing to develop research in nowcasting of severe thunderstorms based on knowledge acquired about the physical properties of clouds in the CHUVA thematic project. The basis of this research is the dual polarization radar operating in Campinas, for 24 months (two wet seasons) to capture intense events that provide the base for the study of the physical processes inside of thunderstorms aiming at improving predictability in the short term and the detection of severity. This project will install hail pads to create a database to provide information not only on the occurrence of hail, but also its size. In addition to the various studies components, as precipitation estimation using radar and satellite, electrification, cloud propagation, time rate of the volume of some hidrometeoros, cloud top growing rates and microphysical processes, this study aims to develop the SIGMA-SOS. The SIGMA SOS is a geographic information system that integrates the measured data as well as short-term forecasts and warnings. The Brazil bought several dual pol radars and is still expanding its network of radars to monitor extreme events. However, there is a lack of knowledge about the microphysical process and the interaction of dual pol radar with the hydrometeor inside the clouds, and this project intend to contribute improving this knowledge and forming students in this area. The interface with agriculture open a new perspective of applications in an important subject in Brazil. (AU)

Scientific publications

(22)

(References retrieved automatically from Web of Science and SciELO through information on FAPESP grants and their corresponding numbers as mentioned in the publications by the authors)

CECCHINI, MICAEL AMORE; SILVA DIAS, MARIA A. F.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; MORALES RODRIGUEZ, CARLOS A.; BISCARO, THIAGO. Macrophysical and Microphysical Characteristics of Convective Rain Cells Observed During SOS-CHUVA. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, v. 125, n. 13, JUL 16 2020. (17/04654-6, 17/17047-0, 15/14497-0)

CECCHINI, MICAEL A.; HEYMSFIELD, ANDREW J.; HONEYAGER, RYAN; FIELD, PAUL; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; DA SILVA DIAS, MARIA A. F.. Revisiting the Hail Radar Reflectivity-Kinetic Energy Flux Relation by Combining T-Matrix and Discrete Dipole Approximation Calculations to Size Distribution Observations. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, v. 79, n. 7, p. 14-pg., 2022-07-01. (20/13273-9, 17/17047-0, 15/14497-0, 18/09082-3, 17/04654-6)

MEDINA, BRUNO LISBOA; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.. Dual polarization radar Lagrangian parameters: a statistics-based probabilistic nowcasting model. NATURAL HAZARDS, v. 89, n. 2, p. 705-721, NOV 2017. (09/15235-8, 15/14497-0)

MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; CALHEIROS, ALAN J. P.; BISCARO, THIAGO; GIANGRANDE, SCOTT; SILVA DIAS, MARIA A. F.; CECCHINI, MICAEL A.; ALBRECHT, RACHEL; ANDREAE, MEINRAT O.; ARAUJO, WAGNER F.; ARTAXO, PAULO; et al. Overview: Precipitation characteristics and sensitivities to environmental conditions during GoAmazon2014/5 and ACRIDICON-CHUVA. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, v. 18, n. 9, p. 6461-6482, MAY 7 2018. (15/14497-0, 14/08615-7, 09/15235-8)

PARDO, LIANET HERNANDEZ; TOLEDO MACHADO, LUIZ AUGUSTO; CECCHINI, MICAEL AMORE; GACITA, MADELEINE SANCHEZ. Quantifying the aerosol effect on droplet size distribution at cloud top. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, v. 19, n. 11, p. 7839-7857, JUN 12 2019. (17/04654-6, 16/24562-6, 15/14497-0)

SAPUCCI, LUIZ F.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; DE SOUZA, ENIUCE MENEZES; CAMPOS, THAMIRIS B.. Global Positioning System precipitable water vapour (GPS-PWV) jumps before intense rain events: A potential application to nowcasting. METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, v. 26, n. 1, p. 49-63, JAN 2019. (15/14497-0, 09/15235-8)

CECCHINI, MICAEL A.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; WENDISCH, MANFRED; COSTA, ANJA; KRAEMER, MARTINA; ANDREAE, MEINRAT O.; AFCHINE, ARMIN; ALBRECHT, RACHEL I.; ARTAXO, PAULO; BORRMANN, STEPHAN; et al. Illustration of microphysical processes in Amazonian deep convective clouds in the gamma phase space: introduction and potential applications. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, v. 17, n. 23, p. 14727-14746, DEC 11 2017. (15/14497-0, 14/21189-7, 14/08615-7, 09/15235-8)

BENDER, ANDREIA; FREITAS, EDMILSON DIAS; TOLEDO MACHADO, LUIZ AUGUSTO. The impact of future urban scenarios on a severe weather case in the metropolitan area of Sao Paulo. Climatic Change, v. 156, n. 4, p. 471-488, OCT 2019. (15/03804-9, 15/14497-0)

PEREZ, GABRIEL M. P.; SILVA DIAS, MARIA A. F.. Long-term study of the occurrence and time of passage of sea breeze in Sao Paulo, 1960-2009. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 37, n. 1, p. 1210-1220, AUG 2017. (13/10470-4, 15/14497-0)

ANSELMO, EVANDRO M.; SCHUMACHER, COURTNEY; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.. The Amazonian Low-Level Jet and Its Connection to Convective Cloud Propagation and Evolution. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, v. 148, n. 10, p. 4083-4099, OCT 2020. (15/14497-0)

PETERSON, MICHAEL J.; LANG, TIMOTHY J.; BRUNING, ERIC C.; ALBRECHT, RACHEL; BLAKESLEE, RICHARD J.; LYONS, WALTER A.; PEDEBOY, STEPHANE; RISON, WILLIAM; ZHANG, YIJUN; BRUNET, MANOLA; et al. New World Meteorological Organization Certified Megaflash Lightning Extremes for Flash Distance (709 km) and Duration (16.73 s) Recorded From Space. Geophysical Research Letters, v. 47, n. 16, AUG 28 2020. (15/14497-0)

ROZANTE, JOSE ROBERTO; VILA, DANIEL A.; CHIQUETTO, JULIO BARBOZA; FERNANDES, ALEX DE A.; ALVIM, DEBORA SOUZA. Evaluation of TRMM/GPM Blended Daily Products over Brazil. REMOTE SENSING, v. 10, n. 6, JUN 2018. (15/14497-0)

MATTOS, ENRIQUE V.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; WILLIAMS, EARLE R.; GOODMAN, STEVEN J.; BLAKESLEE, RICHARD J.; BAILEY, JEFFREY C.. Electrification life cycle of incipient thunderstorms. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, v. 122, n. 8, p. 4670-4697, APR 27 2017. (11/13673-8, 15/14497-0, 09/15235-8, 11/18217-0, 13/04292-6)

RIBAUD, JEAN-FRANCOIS; TOLEDO MACHADO, LUIZ AUGUSTO; BISCARO, THIAGO. X-band dual-polarization radar-based hydrometeor classification for Brazilian tropical precipitation systems. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, v. 12, n. 2, p. 811-837, FEB 6 2019. (16/16932-8, 15/14497-0)

RIBEIRO, BRUNO Z.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; HUAMAN, JOAO H. CH; BISCARO, THIAGO S.; FREITAS, EDMILSON D.; MOZER, KATHRYN W.; GOODMAN, STEVEN J.. An Evaluation of the GOES-16 Rapid Scan for Nowcasting in Southeastern Brazil: Analysis of a Severe Hailstorm Case. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, v. 34, n. 6, p. 1829-1848, DEC 2019. (15/14497-0)

VENDRASCO, EDER P.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; ARAUJO, CAROLINA S.; RIBAUD, JEAN-FRANCOIS; FERREIRA, RUTE C.. Potential use of the GLM for nowcasting and data assimilation. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, v. 242, SEP 15 2020. (15/14497-0)

CAMPOS, THAMIRIS B.; SAPUCCI, LUIZ F.; EICHHOLZ, CRISTIANO; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; ADAMS, DAVID K.. The Sensitivityof GPS Precipitable Water Vapor Jumps to Intense Precipitation Associated with Tropical Organized Convective Systems. ATMOSPHERE, v. 14, n. 2, p. 18-pg., 2023-02-01. (09/15235-8, 15/14497-0, 15/03804-9, 19/12015-9)

PEREZ, GABRIEL M. P.; SILVA DIAS, MARIA A. F.. Long-term study of the occurrence and time of passage of sea breeze in Sao Paulo, 1960-2009. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 37, p. 11-pg., 2017-08-01. (15/14497-0, 13/10470-4)

BISCARO, THIAGO S.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; GIANGRANDE, SCOTT E.; JENSEN, MICHAEL P.. What drives daily precipitation over the central Amazon? Differences observed between wet and dry seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, v. 21, n. 9, p. 6735-6754, MAY 5 2021. (09/15235-8, 15/14497-0)

VENDRASCO, EDER P.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; RIBEIRO, BRUNO Z.; FREITAS, EDMILSON D.; FERREIRA, RUTE C.; NEGRI, RENATO G.. Cloud-Resolving Model Applied to Nowcasting: An Evaluation of Radar Data Assimilation and Microphysics Parameterization. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, v. 35, n. 6, p. 2345-2365, DEC 2020. (15/14497-0)

ANSELMO, EVANDRO M.; MACHADO, LUIZ A. T.; SCHUMACHER, COURTNEY; KILADIS, GEORGE N.. Amazonian mesoscale convective systems: Life cycle and propagation characteristics. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 41, n. 7, p. 3968-3981, JUN 15 2021. (15/14497-0)

PIRES, ANDERSON VINHA; ANDRADE, SARAH DA SILVA; MATIAS, DANILO LIMA; MAIA-SILVA, DEBORA; DOS SANTOS, THIAGO DIAS; MARCOS VIEIRA JUNIOR, LUIZ CARLOS; BECK, ANDRE TEOFILO. Updated Design Wind Map for Brazil and Impacts on the Reliability of Built Structures. ASCE-ASME JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN ENGINEERING SYSTEMS PART A-CIVIL ENGINEERING, v. 7, n. 4, DEC 1 2021. (15/14497-0)